Raphael Durand
Dailysports's expert
One of the matches of La Liga's 36th round will take place on Tuesday at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, where the home side Sevilla will host Las Palmas. I’m offering a bet on the outcome of this clash with an attractive odds value.
Match preview
This season, Sevilla, a club usually associated with the fight for European spots, has found itself in unfamiliar territory: as the season draws to a close, the team is desperately battling to stay in Spain's top flight. After 35 rounds, Sevilla has only 38 points from 9 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses. Their goal difference of 37:46 clearly demonstrates the team’s issues both in attack and defense, with inconsistent results especially noticeable at home.
The Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, once a fortress, has seen Sevilla win just 5 times, draw 6, and lose 6 at home this campaign. In the previous round, the Nervionenses suffered a frustrating 2-3 away defeat to Celta, despite looking much better than their opponents. According to xG stats, Sevilla had the upper hand in that match—2.24 to 0.72. With Leganes winning their parallel fixture, Sevilla’s cushion above the relegation zone shrank to just 4 points.
Las Palmas, meanwhile, are direct rivals of Sevilla in the fight for survival. The Canaries sit 19th with 32 points after 35 rounds. Under Diego Martínez, the team has struggled, recording 8 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses. A goal difference of 40:56 highlights their defensive frailties, especially away from home.
On the road, Las Palmas have managed just four victories, suffering 10 defeats and drawing three times. Their recent 0-1 home loss to Rayo Vallecano only made things worse, and now Diego Martínez’s men must go all out for the win against Sevilla.
Probable lineups
- Sevilla: Nyland O. (GK), Martinez R., Bade L., Gudelj N. (C), Sanchez J., Pedrosa A., Salas E. J. V., Agoume L., Níguez S., Lukebakio D., Peque
- Las Palmas: Horkas D. (GK), Viti, Alex Suarez (C), Herzog J., Marmol M., Javier Muñoz, Essugo D., Bajcetic S., Moleiro A., McBurnie O., Januzaj A.
Match facts and head-to-head
- The first round ended in a 2-2 draw between these teams
- The "Over 2.5 goals" bet has landed in two out of the last five meetings
- The "Both teams to score" option has come through in two of the last five encounters
Prediction
The bookmakers favor the hosts, offering odds around 1.84 for a Sevilla win. However, Sevilla have been far too inconsistent at home and backing them outright is risky. Our pick: "Under 2.5 goals" at 1.66 odds.
