Scotland and Slovenia level on points: prediction for Scotland vs Slovenia
The UEFA Nations League fourth-round match between Scotland and Slovenia will take place on October 6 at Hampden Park. Both teams have collected four points from three games and continue their battle for second place in the group. Their first meeting in this edition ended in a goalless draw.
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Scotland: first win under Poconoli and long-awaited goals
Sebastien Poconoli began his tenure with the Scotland national team with a 0-0 draw against Slovenia, after which the team suffered a 0-3 home defeat to Switzerland. The Scots spent a significant portion of that match a man down after Jack Hendry was sent off as early as the 11th minute. By the third matchday, the team had gone four games without scoring, and pressure on the new coaching staff had increased significantly.
The turning point came in the away match against North Macedonia, where Scotland won 2-0 to claim their first victory under Poconoli. The result allowed the hosts to draw level with Slovenia on points and return to the battle for a place in the top half of the group. However, Scotland will have to cope without Scott McKenna, who was sent off in the previous round, while Jack Hendry returns from suspension.
Slovenia: four points and problems away from home
Slovenia opened the tournament with a 0-0 home draw against Scotland before beating North Macedonia 2-0 thanks to goals from Sandi Lovric and Aljosa Matko. In the third round, Bostjan Cesar's side took an early lead against Switzerland through Zan Vipotnik's goal in the second minute. However, Eric Janza's own goal and Dan Ndoye's subsequent strike before half-time resulted in a 1-2 defeat.
Slovenia's advantage over Scotland in the standings has now disappeared, making the meeting in Glasgow especially important in the fight for second place. At the same time, the visitors' away form raises questions: Slovenia have lost three of their last four matches on the road. Vipotnik should once again be the main attacking threat, supported by Matko and Daniel Sturm.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- The first meeting between Scotland and Slovenia in this Nations League campaign ended 0-0.
- Both national teams have collected four points after three rounds.
- Slovenia have lost three of their last four away matches.
The rivals could once again share the points: prediction for Scotland vs Slovenia
Scotland received the necessary emotional boost after beating North Macedonia, but that result does not yet indicate that their attacking problems have been fully solved. Poconoli's team is still undergoing a rebuild and will also have to reshuffle its centre-back pairing because of McKenna's suspension. Home advantage will help the hosts, but it is difficult to expect complete superiority over an opponent level with them in the standings.
Slovenia already showed in the first meeting that they can limit Scotland's attacking options and should adopt a similarly cautious approach this time. The visitors are capable of creating danger through Vipotnik, Matko and Lovric, but their recent away results make it difficult to confidently back them to win. With the teams level on points and the cost of a mistake so high, another draw looks like a very plausible outcome.
