Romania - Sweden: Can Romania end their poor run and win?

Romania vs Sweden prediction Photo: https://www.facebook.com/NationalaRomanieiOfficial/
UEFA Nations League B (Round 4) 05 oct 2026, 14:45
- : -
International, Bucharest, Arena Nationala

On Monday, October 5, we have a match between Romania and Sweden in the UEFA Nations League. The game will kick off at 20:45 CET, and I am backing a bet for this encounter.

Romania - Sweden: Match preview

Romania are currently not in the best form and have gone three consecutive matches without a win. All of these games have come in the UEFA Nations League. The Romanians lost 1:2 to Sweden, then 2:4 to Bosnia, before suffering a heavy 0:6 defeat to Poland. They have no points after three rounds and a 3:12 goal difference. In the previous edition of the UEFA Nations League, they played in Division C and managed to earn direct promotion to the higher division. However, staying here will be very difficult, especially after such a poor start. Romania need to pick up points to retain their place in this division, but to do so they must make up a four-point gap.

Sweden have made a much better start to their Division B Nations League campaign. They beat Romania 2:1 in their opening match, then defeated Poland 3:1 before drawing 1:1 with Bosnia. As a result, they currently have seven points from three matches and sit top of the group. They have a two-point lead over second place. The team finishing first will earn promotion to the higher division, while the side finishing second will play in the promotion/relegation playoffs. Sweden also qualified for the 2026 World Cup. Moreover, they reached the playoffs after picking up four points in the group stage. However, they faced France in the first round of the playoffs and lost 0:3. Overall, though, the team have been performing well under Potter and producing solid results.

Match facts and H2H

  • Romania have lost their last three matches.
  • Sweden are unbeaten in their last three matches: one draw and two wins.
  • Sweden have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 matches.
  • Romania have conceded at least one goal in their last nine matches.
  • Sweden have beaten Romania in their last three meetings.

Probable lineups

  • Romania: Radu; Ratiu, Coubis, Burca, Eissat; Olaru, M Marin, Baluta, Stanciu; Man, Birligea
  • Sweden: Johansson; Gudmundsson, Lindelof, E Smith, Dahl; Bernhardsson, Larsson, Karlstrom, Nanasi; Gyokeres, Zeneli

Prediction

Romania need to win this game, as do Sweden. One team need to fight to retain their place in Division B, while the other have a chance to earn promotion to Division A. I am backing over 2.5 goals in this match.

Prediction on game Total over 2,5
Odds: 1.69
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4.95
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