Roma vs Milan prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 18 May 2025
One of the fixtures of Serie A's 37th round will be played on Sunday at the Olimpico, where Roma will host Milan. I'm offering a bet on goals in this clash with a solid value.
Match preview
In the previous round, Roma suffered a 1-2 away defeat to Atalanta, thus ending their impressive 19-match unbeaten run in Serie A, during which the Giallorossi recorded 14 wins and five draws. Interestingly, this marked the ninth consecutive game in which Claudio Ranieri's side scored exactly one goal. Despite the loss, the Wolves held onto sixth place with 63 points, but another setback could finally shatter their hopes of a top-four finish.
At home, Roma have been solid and reliable, even if not always playing the most entertaining football. The team has found the net in each of their last 11 Serie A home matches, scoring at least twice in six of them. Notably, they boast the best home goal difference in the league at +20, underlining their strength at the Stadio Olimpico.
Last time out, Milan, led by Sérgio Conceição, confidently defeated Bologna 3-1 at home, securing their third consecutive win—something they've only managed for the second time this season. Their attacking form is impressive: the Rossoneri have scored at least twice in five of their last six Serie A games. However, defense remains a weak spot—Milan have failed to keep a clean sheet in ten of their last twelve outings.
On the road, Milan are also showing strong results—four wins in their last five away league matches prove the team is in good shape as the season draws to a close. With 60 points, the Rossoneri have climbed to eighth, but only a win in the next round will keep their top-four and Champions League hopes alive.
Probable lineups
- Roma: Mile Svilar – Mehmet Zeki Çelik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka – Angeliño, Manu Koné, Bryan Cristante, Devyne Rensch – Matías Soulé, Eldor Shomurodov, Artem Dovbyk
- Milan: Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlović, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernández – Alejandro Jiménez, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, João Félix – Luka Jović
Match facts and head-to-head
- The teams drew 1-1 in the first half of the season
- In the Coppa Italia, Milan beat Roma 3-1
- The "Both teams to score" bet landed in the last four meetings between these clubs
Prediction
Bookmakers give a slight edge to the hosts, offering Roma to win at odds of around 2.40. We believe the Giallorossi have a better chance of taking all three points, so our pick is "Roma to win with a (0) handicap" at odds of 1.76.
