Roma vs Lazio Prediction, Match Preview and Probable Lineups | May 17, 2026
On May 17, 2026, Roma face Lazio in Derby della Capitale at Stadio Olimpico in Round 37 of the Serie A season. Roma currently sit 5th in the table with 67 points and continue to fight for a Champions League place, while Lazio are down in 9th position after an inconsistent campaign. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this matchup.
Match Preview
Roma come into this derby in strong form after winning three consecutive Serie A matches. Recent victories over Parma, Fiorentina and Bologna highlighted the team’s attacking quality, with the hosts also scoring at least two goals in each of their last three league fixtures.
Home performances have been especially impressive. Roma are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches and won three of their previous four league games at Stadio Olimpico.
Defensively, Roma remain one of the strongest sides in the league. They conceded only 31 goals in 36 Serie A matches this season and kept clean sheets in five of their last seven home league games.
Lazio arrive after back-to-back defeats against Inter, losing 3-0 in Serie A before another 2-0 loss in the Coppa Italia final. While the visitors have shown some resilience away from home this season, their recent inconsistency remains a major concern ahead of this derby.
Lazio scored only 39 league goals across 36 matches this season, averaging just 1.08 goals per game. Their attacking output has been significantly lower compared to Roma, especially against stronger opposition.
Another important factor is the recent head-to-head trend. Roma are unbeaten in the last five Derby della Capitale meetings in Serie A, recording three wins without conceding and two draws.
Possible Starting Lineups
- Roma: Svilar, Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso, Celik, Cristante, Kone, Wesley, Soule, Malen, Dybala.
- Lazio: Motta, Marusic, Mario Gila, Provstgaard, Pellegrini, Taylor, Rovella, Basic, Noslin, Dia, Cancellieri.
Key Points
- Roma are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches.
- Roma won 5 of their last 7 matches in Serie A.
- Roma scored 16 goals across their last 7 games.
- Lazio lost back-to-back matches without scoring a goal.
- Lazio scored only 39 goals in 36 Serie A matches this season.
- Roma are unbeaten in the last 5 Serie A meetings against Lazio.
- Roma won 3 of the last 4 league derbies without conceding.
Head to Head Statistics
Roma continue to dominate recent Derby della Capitale meetings. The hosts are unbeaten in the last five Serie A clashes against Lazio and already secured a 1-0 victory earlier this season. Roma also kept clean sheets in four of those five meetings, while Lazio failed to score more than once in any of the recent derby encounters.
Prediction
Roma look like the stronger and more balanced side heading into this derby. The hosts are in much better form, remain extremely reliable at home and continue to show excellent defensive stability. Lazio have struggled offensively throughout the season and arrive after two heavy defeats against Inter, which could further affect confidence before such an important match. Considering Roma’s recent derby dominance, home form and Lazio’s attacking issues, the hosts look well positioned to secure another victory in Derby della Capitale. Recommended bet: Roma to win
