Revenge at Maracanã and a gulf in class: Flamengo vs São Paulo prediction

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Serie A Brazil (Round 20) 26 july 2026, 17:30
Finished
1 : 1
Brazil,
Leo Pereira
57'
70'
Jonathan Calleri

The 20th round fixture of the Brazilian Championship between Flamengo and São Paulo will take place on July 26, 2026, at the iconic Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro. The hosts sit second in the standings and continue their chase of leaders Palmeiras, while the visitors have slipped into the bottom half of the table and are winless in Série A for six straight matches.

Flamengo: The champions return from the break in destructive form

Leonardo Jardim's side resumed their campaign with a commanding 4-0 victory over Chapecoense. That win marked Flamengo’s third in a row across all competitions, with the Rio de Janeiro club keeping a clean sheet in each of those matches.

After 18 games, the hosts have collected 37 points and are second in the table, seven points behind Palmeiras with a game in hand. Flamengo boast the league’s best attack with 35 goals scored and the second-stingiest defense, conceding just 16 times.

The starting eleven will likely remain unchanged from the side that demolished Chapecoense. That match saw Arrascaeta return after a 97-day absence, but Paquetá, Léo Ortiz, and Luiz Araújo remain sidelined.

São Paulo: Winless run turns up the pressure

São Paulo failed to solve their problems during the break and lost their first match back, falling 1-2 at home to Athletico Paranaense. The team took the lead, but conceded twice after halftime to suffer their fourth defeat in the last five rounds.

After 19 matches, Dorival Júnior's squad have 25 points and sit 12th. They are just five points clear of the relegation zone, and their stats - 24 goals scored, 22 conceded - are well below those of their upcoming opponents.

Another blow is the absence of Rafael Tolói, who is in the medical center. Ryan Francisco is also unavailable, and Bobadilla, recently back from the World Cup, remains a doubt.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Flamengo have won five of their last six matches and are unbeaten in that stretch.
  • São Paulo are winless in the league for six rounds and come into this match on the back of two consecutive defeats.
  • In the first half of the season, São Paulo came from behind to beat Flamengo 2-1 after a goal from Gonzalo Plata had put Flamengo ahead.

The hosts are ready to settle the score: Flamengo vs São Paulo prediction

The contrast in current form between the two sides is stark. Flamengo returned from the break with a resounding win, have the most potent attack in Série A, and, with the support of the Maracanã crowd, should seize the initiative from the opening whistle.

São Paulo still have big names, but their recent results don't inspire confidence for a consistent 90-minute performance. A poor run of form, injury troubles, and lackluster league displays make the hosts the clear favorites for this encounter.

Prediction on game Win Flamengo
Odds: 1.55
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4.95
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