Rennes vs PSG: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 13 February 2026

Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction Photo: ligue1.fr / Author unknown
Ligue 1 France (Round 22) 13 feb 2026, 13:00
Finished
3 : 1
France, Rennes, Roazhon Park
Mousa Tamari
34'
Esteban Lepaul
69'
Breel Embolo
81'
71'
Ousmane Dembele

One of the marquee fixtures of Ligue 1’s 22nd round will take place on Friday at Roazhon Park in Rennes, where the home side will face off against PSG. Rennes come into the match amidst managerial turbulence and a string of defeats, while Paris are hitting their championship stride. Let’s look at a betting option centered on goals in this clash.

Match preview

Rennes are enduring a tough spell – following league defeats to Lorient, Monaco, and Lens, as well as a Coupe de France exit at the hands of Marseille, the club parted ways with Habib Beye. Interim coach Sébastien Tambouré has stepped in, while negotiations continue with Franck Haise. The Bretons sit sixth in the table, but the standings are so tight that only three points separate them from 11th – there’s little margin for error.

Squad issues are compounding the tension: both central defenders, Jaquet and Aït-Boudial, are doubtful, while Frankowski and Kamara are sidelined, as is the pivotal midfielder Cissé. The return of Brice Samba brings confidence to the last line of defense, but structural problems at the back remain unresolved. Recent meetings with PSG have not favored Rennes either – five defeats in their last six, including a 0-5 rout in Paris earlier this season.

PSG, on the other hand, have hit top form by February. A 1-0 win over Strasbourg with a man down and a 5-0 demolition of Marseille showcased their squad depth and resilience. Despite a Coupe de France exit and a forthcoming Champions League play-off, Paris have reclaimed top spot in the league and look systematically stronger than their rivals.

Achraf Hakimi’s return bolsters the flanks, with Fabián Ruiz the only notable absentee – Meyulu will step in. Still, PSG’s defense away from home isn’t flawless: 12 goals conceded in 11 road fixtures. Given Esteban Lepaul’s form and Rennes’ motivation, the hosts have a chance to score, but in terms of quality and squad depth, the visitors are objectively superior.

Probable line-ups

  • Rennes: Samba, Nagida, Rouault, Seidu, Tamari, Rongier, Norden, Merlin, Kamara, Embolo, Lepaul.
  • PSG: Safonov, Marquinhos, Pacho, Hakimi, Mendes, Vitinha, Meyulu, Neves, Kvaratskhelia, Barcola, Dembélé.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Rennes have lost five of their last six matches against PSG in all competitions.
  • This season, PSG thrashed the Bretons 5-0 in Paris.
  • Despite topping the table, PSG have conceded in most of their away league matches.

Prediction

Rennes are capable of an emotional performance following the coaching change, but injuries and defensive instability dampen their chances for an upset. PSG look mature and balanced, especially going forward. I expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet, but the visitors’ class and depth should prove decisive.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.55
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