Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 20 December 2025
One of the marquee fixtures of La Liga's 17th round will take place this Saturday at the Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, where the home side Real will face off against Sevilla. I'm backing a bet on goals in this clash, with a high probability of success.
Match preview
Real Madrid secured a crucial win over Alavés in the previous round, proving they can deliver results even with significant personnel losses. The team remains firmly in the title race, trailing the leaders by just four points, and continues to boast the league’s second-best attacking record. At home, Los Blancos are a force -13 wins in their last 15 La Liga matches at the Bernabéu speaks volumes.
There are, however, some weaknesses: defensive lapses have crept in, with Real keeping just one clean sheet in their last four home games. The return of several players could stabilize things at the back, but a packed schedule and the pressure of results are taking a toll. Still, with an attacking trio of Mbappé, Vinícius, and Bellingham all fit, Real are clear favorites.
Sevilla have found a bit of form, but inconsistency remains their Achilles’ heel. Their win over Oviedo boosts confidence, yet both recent positive results came against struggling sides - this trip to Real will be a true test. The team has climbed to mid-table, but just five points separate them from both European spots and the relegation zone.
Sevilla’s attack remains reliable - they’ve found the net in almost every match. On the road, the Andalusians rarely leave empty-handed, and in head-to-head clashes with Real, they often manage to score, even in defeat. However, defensive issues, injuries, and squad absences make it hard to expect a positive result at the Bernabéu.
Probable lineups
- Real Madrid: Courtois, Valverde, Asensio, Rüdiger, Valdepeñas, Rodrygo, Güler, Tchouaméni, Bellingham, Vinícius Júnior, Mbappé
- Sevilla: Vlachodimos, Gudelj, Castrín, Cardoso, Carmona, Martínez Gauna, Mendy, Sow, Agoumé, Sánchez, Adams
Match facts and head-to-head
- Sevilla have scored in 14 of their 16 La Liga matches this season.
- Both teams found the net in 7 of the last 9 meetings between Real and Sevilla.
- Real have won 13 of their last 15 home games in La Liga.
Prediction
Given the current form and stats, Real should confidently claim victory at home. However, defensive frailties and Sevilla’s attacking prowess make a goal exchange likely. With that in mind, the best bet is “Both teams to score” at odds of 1.81.
