Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: prediction, head-to-head, and probable line-ups – 14 February 2026

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction Photo: laliga.com / Author unknown
LaLiga Spain (Round 24) 14 feb 2026, 15:00
Finished
4 : 1
Spain, Madrid, Estadio Bernabeu
Gonzalo Garcia
5'
Vinicius Junior
25' (P) 48' (P)
Federico Valverde
31'
21' (P)
Mikel Oyarzabal

One of the marquee fixtures of La Liga's 24th round takes place this Saturday at the Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, where Real Madrid will host Real Sociedad. Let’s break down this clash, with the hosts hot on Barcelona’s heels and the Basque side hunting for a European spot.

Match preview

Real endured a turbulent January – crashing out of the Copa del Rey, Supercopa, and suffering Champions League setbacks amid a managerial change and internal tensions. Yet in La Liga, Álvaro Arbeloa’s men have been flawless: seven straight wins, the best current streak in the league. True, Los Blancos haven’t been blowing teams away – only once in this run did they score more than two goals – but their quality shines through, and Mbappé has scored in six consecutive matches across all competitions.

Vinícius returns for this game after serving his suspension, while Trent Alexander-Arnold is fully fit and ready to challenge Carvajal for a starting spot. The only question mark remains over Mbappé, who has been nursing knee discomfort. At home, Real are a fortress: 13 wins in 15 matches at the Bernabéu this season, and they’ve not lost any of their last six La Liga home games against Sociedad.

Under Pellegrino Matarazzo, Real Sociedad have looked revitalized and aggressive. In nine matches with the American at the helm, the Basques have netted 18 goals, are unbeaten, and have racked up seven victories – including a recent Copa del Rey semifinal triumph over Athletic (1-0). Pressing, intensity, and rapid wing play have become Sociedad’s trademarks.

However, the schedule could work against the visitors: since the start of February, they’ve already played four matches, with just two days to prepare for this trip to Madrid. There are personnel issues, too – Kubo, Ruperes, and Sučić are ruled out, while Barrenetxea is a doubt. On the plus side, Guedes is ready to start. Zakharyan is back training with the group and could see some minutes, but it’s too early to expect him in the XI.

Probable line-ups

  • Real Madrid: Courtois, Carreras, Rüdiger, Asensio, Alexander-Arnold, Tchouaméni, Camavinga, Valverde, Güler, Vinícius, Mbappé
  • Real Sociedad: Alex, Aramburu, Zubeldia, Martin, Gomez, Turrientes, Gorrotxategi, Guedes, Soler, Marin, Oyarzabal

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Real have won seven straight La Liga matches and picked up 13 victories from 15 home games this season.
  • Sociedad are unbeaten in nine consecutive matches across all competitions, with seven wins.
  • In their last six La Liga meetings at the Bernabéu, Real have not lost to Sociedad, winning four times.

Prediction

Sociedad can set a high tempo and cause problems with their pressing, especially in the first half. However, Real’s squad depth and freshness – having played just once a week – should make the difference late on. Expect a hard-fought encounter, but the hosts’ superior class and fresher legs should see them through in the end.

Prediction on game W2(+1.5)
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