RB Leipzig — Freiburg Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 14 January 2026
On January 14, 2026, in Matchday 17 of the Bundesliga, RB Leipzig will host Freiburg. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:30 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig have not yet played an official match in the new year. Their scheduled fixture against St. Pauli last weekend was postponed due to bad weather. RB Leipzig ended the previous year with two consecutive defeats, both by the same scoreline. The team first lost 3–1 away to Union Berlin, and then suffered another 3–1 defeat at home against Bayer Leverkusen. At the moment, Leipzig occupy third place in the Bundesliga table and trail league leaders Bayern Munich by 12 points. However, the gap to second-placed Borussia is only four points.
The team’s home form deserves special attention. In the Bundesliga, Leipzig have recorded 6 wins and only 1 defeat at home, with an impressive goal difference of 19 scored and just 6 conceded.
Also, Leipzig performed well in the DFB-Pokal, reaching the quarter-finals, where they are set to face Bayern Munich.
As for head-to-head meetings with Freiburg, Leipzig also hold a clear advantage at home. In their last five home matches against this opponent, Leipzig have won four times and drawn once. Moreover, the last three home encounters all ended with identical 3–1 victories in Leipzig’s favor.
- See also: Deportivo La Coruna — Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 13 January 2026
Freiburg
Freiburg started the new year with a home victory. The team hosted Hamburg and showed great character in that match. Trailing 1–0 at the beginning second half, Freiburg managed to come back and secure a 2–1 win. This victory became their third in the last four matches across all competitions.
In the Bundesliga, Freiburg have played 16 matches so far, collecting 23 points and sitting just four points away from the European qualification zone. Their goal difference is quite telling: 27 goals scored and 27 conceded, highlighting a balanced but sometimes vulnerable defensive record. Freiburg look particularly less convincing away from home, having conceded 17 of those 27 goals on the road. By this metric, they rank only twelve in the league in away games.
In the Europa League, however, Freiburg have been far more consistent. After six matches, the team have collected 14 points and currently sit fifth in the standings, maintaining excellent chances of reaching the knockout stage. Freiburg have also performed well in the DFB-Pokal, where they eliminated Darmstadt and advanced to the quarterfinals, where they will face Hertha Berlin.
Looking at head-to-head encounters with RB Leipzig, Freiburg have struggled in recent years. They have failed to win any of their last seven meetings against Leipzig. Most of these games have been open and entertaining, with goals from both teams in five of the last seven matches, and the majority of those encounters finishing with over 2.5 goals.
Probable Lineups
- RB Leipzig: Gulacsi, Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Klostermann, Schlager, Baumgartner, Seiwald, Nusa, Harder, Diomande
- Freiburg: Atubolu, Kubler, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter, Eggestein, Manzambi, Treu, Suzuki, Grifo, Holer
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- RB Leipzig have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.
- RB Leipzig’s last 4 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- In 3 of Leipzig’s last 4 matches both teams scored.
- Freiburg have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
- In 4 of Freiburg’s last 5 matches both teams scored.
- RB Leipzig have won 6 of last 7 head-to-head meetings.
- 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings have seen over 2.5 goals.
- In 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings both teams scored.
RB Leipzig — Freiburg Prediction
We are set for an interesting matchup between two teams that currently occupy strong positions in the league. RB Leipzig have been performing quite confidently this season and sit third in the Bundesliga standings. The team boast an excellent home record, and their recent head-to-head history against Freiburg is clearly in Leipzig’s favor. As for Freiburg, they are also very close to the European qualification zone. The team are in good form, having gone four matches in a row without defeat. In the Europa League, Freiburg are positioned high in the table and have very solid chances of advancing to the playoffs. When it comes to head-to-head meetings, Freiburg traditionally struggle against Leipzig, especially away from home. Most matches between these two sides tend to be open and entertaining, often featuring goals from both teams. Considering the current form of both teams, Leipzig's desire to bounce back after a poor end to last year, and the general attacking tendencies in the match between these teams, we expect a game with a lot of goals. My bet for this match: Total Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.67.
