Qarabag vs Ajax prediction, H2H and probable lineups — December 10, 2025
In the sixth round of the UEFA Champions League group stage, Qarabag will face Ajax. The clash is set to take place in Azerbaijan on Wednesday, December 10. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 Central European Time. I'm backing a bet on goals in this encounter.
Match preview
Qarabag have delivered a commendable performance in this season's Champions League, collecting 7 points from five matches and maintaining a solid chance of progressing to the knockout phase. Notably, both victories came in the opening rounds, followed by a single draw—against Chelsea (2-2)—and two defeats: to Athletic Bilbao (1-3) and Napoli (0-2).
The loss to Napoli stands as Qarabag's only defeat in their last nine matches across all competitions, underlining their consistent form. In their most recent Azerbaijani league fixture, the club dropped points in a 1-1 draw against Zira but still lead the table, holding a two-point advantage over their closest rivals.
It's extremely difficult to speak positively about Ajax's campaign this season. The Dutch side have lost all their Champions League matches, scoring just once—courtesy of a penalty converted by Wout Weghorst. Ajax are statistically the weakest team in this year's UCL, and another defeat here could mathematically eliminate their already slim hopes of reaching the knockout stage.
In the Eredivisie, Fred Grim's squad has shown some improvement with back-to-back wins over Groningen (2-0) and Fortuna (3-1). These results have lifted team morale, but Ajax still occupy only fourth place domestically. Nevertheless, this winning streak could give the Amsterdam side a confidence boost ahead of this crucial European fixture.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Qarabag are unbeaten in their last three matches.
- Ajax have conceded first in five of their last six games.
- Qarabag and Ajax have only met once before, in last season's Europa League, where the Dutch club secured a comfortable 3-0 victory.
Probable lineups
- Qarabag: Kochalski - Silva, Mustafazada, Medina, Bayramov - Bicalho, Janković, Zoubir - Andrade, Addai, Durán
- Ajax: Jaroš - Gaaei, Itakura, Baas, Wijndal - Mokio, Klaasen, Gloukh - Bounida, Godts, Dolberg
Prediction
I'm willing to predict that this match could see plenty of goals. Both sides have shown notable defensive vulnerabilities, so a high-scoring scenario appears likely. Therefore, my pick is over 2.5 total goals.
