PSG vs Monaco: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – March 6, 2026

Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco prediction Photo: ligue1.fr / Author unknown
Ligue 1 France (Round 25) 06 mar 2026, 14:45
Finished
1 : 3
France, Paris, Parc des Princes
Bradley Barcola
71'
27'
Maghnes Akliouche
55'
Aleksandr Golovin
73'
Folarin Balogun

One of the marquee clashes of Ligue 1’s Round 25 will take place this Friday in Paris at the Parc des Princes, where PSG will host Monaco. Let’s break down this high-stakes encounter, featuring two sides with different objectives, but equally ambitious plans for the season’s home stretch.

Match preview

The Parisians went through a rough patch in February, suffering a surprising 1-3 defeat to Rennes and twice struggling against Monaco in the Champions League – a 3-2 comeback victory after trailing 0-2, and then a 2-2 draw. However, Luis Enrique’s side quickly regained their footing in Ligue 1, with convincing wins over Metz (3-0) and Le Havre (1-0) that allowed them to pull clear of Lens and seize control of the title race once again.

Injuries, though, remain an ongoing challenge. Ousmane Dembélé is still recovering from a fibula injury, Fabian Ruiz has been out of the midfield for some time, and João Neves picked up a knock just before the match against Le Havre. With a crucial Champions League showdown against Chelsea looming, Luis Enrique may opt for careful squad rotation, though a home fixture versus a direct rival typically demands full focus from his best eleven.

Monaco weathered a turbulent January, unexpectedly dropping points to Lorient and Le Havre, but have gradually found their rhythm. Under Sebastian Pocognoli, the Monegasques have recently dispatched Nantes (3-1), staged a dramatic comeback to beat Lens (3-2), and comfortably handled Angers (2-0) – results that have propelled them back into the European qualification picture.

Yet, the injury list remains a headache: first-choice keeper Lukáš Hrádecký is sidelined, several defenders including Salisu and Dier are out, as is utility man Diatta. On the bright side, Aleksandr Golovin returns from suspension and Ansu Fati is regaining his form, but away form remains Monaco’s Achilles’ heel – they’ve won just three of their 11 away matches in Ligue 1 this season.

Probable lineups

  • PSG: Safonov, Pacho, Marquinhos, Mendes, Hakimi, Vitinha, Fernandez, Zaïre-Emery, Barcola, Kvaratskhelia, Doué.
  • Monaco: Köhn, Kehrer, Fàes, Teze, Henrique, Bamba, Zakaria, Fati, Golovin, Adingra, Balogun.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • PSG have won their last two Ligue 1 games, beating Metz (3-0) and Le Havre (1-0).
  • Monaco come into this match on the back of a three-game winning streak in Ligue 1, seeing off Nantes (3-1), Lens (3-2), and Angers (2-0).
  • The Monegasques haven’t beaten PSG at the Parc des Princes since February 2021.

Prediction

Despite their injury woes, PSG still boast a deeper bench and a potent attack capable of deciding matches even when not at their best. Monaco look more composed now than during the winter, but inconsistent away results and defensive frailties against PSG’s rapid frontline could once again cost them. Expect a fairly open contest, but home advantage and superior individual quality should tip the scales in favor of the hosts.

Prediction on game Monaco Total under 1,0
Odds: 1.58
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