PSG v Bayern Munich prediction: facts, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 28 April 2026

Finished
5 : 4
International, Paris, Parc des Princes
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
24' 56'
Joao Neves
33'
Ousmane Dembele
45' + 5 (P) 58'
17' (P)
Harry Kane
41'
Michael Olise
65'
Dayot Upamecano
68'
Luis Diaz

In the first leg of the UEFA Champions League semi-final, Bayern Munich travel to face PSG on Tuesday, April 28, with kick-off at 21:00 CET. Here is my betting pick for this clash.

PSG vs Bayern Munich: Match facts and H2H

  • PSG have suffered two defeats in their last ten matches.
  • PSG have scored at least one goal in each of their last 19 matches.
  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 19 consecutive matches.
  • Bayern have scored at least one goal in every match this season.
  • Away from home, Bayern have lost only one match this season.
  • This season, PSG have kept clean sheets in 46% of their matches, Bayern in 31%.
  • In 69% of their matches this season, Bayern have scored in both halves, while PSG have done so in 59%.
  • Bayern defeated PSG 2-1 in their most recent head-to-head meeting.

PSG vs Bayern: Match preview

PSG once again failed to qualify directly for the Champions League Round of 16 and had to come through the preliminary knockout round, just as they did last season. In this campaign, they collected 14 points and finished 11th in the table. In the previous round, they edged Monaco 5-4, before thrashing Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the Round of 16.

PSG also swept aside Liverpool 4-0 across two matches. Domestically, the side remain in the title race and could soon secure another trophy. They currently have 69 points and a gap over second place, meaning the championship crown could soon be confirmed.

Bayern Munich have already wrapped up matters on the domestic front in the Bundesliga. The team claimed their 35th German league title and have been able to focus fully on cup competitions. Last week, the Bavarians beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 in the German Cup semi-final to reach the final of that tournament for the first time since 2020.

Attention now turns to the UEFA Champions League, where things have also gone very well. In the league phase, Bayern collected 21 points from eight rounds and finished second. That secured direct passage to the Round of 16. The team demolished Atalanta 10-2 on aggregate, then overcame Real Madrid 6-4 across two quarter-final matches.

Earlier in this Champions League campaign, these two sides had already faced each other. Bayern managed to beat PSG 2-1 away from home, despite playing with ten men after the dismissal of Luis Díaz.

Probable lineups

  • Paris Saint-Germain: Safonov; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Ruiz, Zaire-Emery, Neves; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia
  • Bayern Munich: Neuer; Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Laimer; Pavlovic, Kimmich; Olise, Musiala, Diaz; Kane

Prediction

We are set for a sensational encounter in the first semi-final clash of the UEFA Champions League between PSG and Bayern. I expect an entertaining contest, and my pick is over 3 total goals.

Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.53
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