Prediction for the Norway vs Senegal match: battle for the playoffs already in the second round on 23.06.2026

Norway vs Senegal prediction Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images
World Cup (Round 2) 22 june 2026, 20:00
Finished
3 : 2
International, East Rutherford, MetLife Stadium
Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
43'
Erling Haaland
48' 58'
53' 90' + 3
Ismaila Sarr

On June 23rd at the 2026 World Cup, we’re set for one of the most intriguing fixtures of Group I’s second round. Norway will take on Senegal, and for both sides, this encounter could prove decisive in their pursuit of a playoff berth.

  • See also: Argentina aims for an early playoff berth, Austria needs a game above their ceiling: prediction for Argentina vs Austria - 22.06.2026

After the opening round, the situation in the group looks rather compelling. Norway dispatched Iraq with authority (4-1) and sits atop the group thanks to a superior goal difference. The main man was Erling Haaland, who bagged a brace in his World Cup debut. Ståle Solbakken’s squad looked formidable going forward and proved they’re not just here to make up the numbers.

Senegal, meanwhile, started their campaign with a 1-3 defeat to France. Still, the African side hardly collapsed—at times, they managed to trouble one of the tournament favorites. But the result leaves Senegal with no margin for error: another defeat could seriously jeopardize their hopes of progressing.

For Norway, this is a golden opportunity to virtually secure a playoff spot even before their final group match against France. A win would mean six points and a comfortable position heading into the decisive fixtures. For Senegal, taking at least a point is imperative—otherwise, their situation becomes critical.

The main intrigue is whether Senegal’s defense can contain Haaland. The Norwegian striker is in red-hot form and has already shown he can create something out of nothing. But Senegal boasts plenty of top-tier talent as well, especially in midfield and on the flanks, where they’re traditionally strong both physically and in terms of pace.

Judging by both teams’ styles, we could be in for an open, attacking game. Norway is playing with a clear offensive mindset, and after their opening loss, Senegal has no reason to sit back and wait. This could easily turn into one of the most entertaining matches of Group I’s second round.

On paper, Norway holds a slight edge. The team is riding high after a vibrant win over Iraq, and Haaland looks ready to extend his scoring streak. However, Senegal is far too experienced and talented to be written off after a single defeat.

My prediction: both teams to score – yes.

Probable lineups:

  • Norway: Nyland, Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, Wolfe, Ødegaard, Berge, Aursnes, Nusa, Sørloth, Haaland.
  • Senegal: Mendy, Diouf, Niakhaté, Koulibaly, Diatta, Gueye, Gueye, Camara, Mané, Jackson, Mbaye
Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 2
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