Prediction for Argentina vs Iceland: the world champions' final rehearsal. Preview for June 10

Argentina vs Iceland prediction Photo by Marcos Brindicci/Getty Images

With just days remaining before the start of the 2026 World Cup, Argentina's clash against Iceland marks their final opportunity to test the squad ahead of their title defense.

The match will take place on June 10 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, USA, and in just a week the Albiceleste will kick off their World Cup campaign.

At first glance, there may seem to be little intrigue: the reigning world champions face a side that didn't qualify for the tournament. But friendlies before major competitions are rarely dull affairs—especially when it comes to Lionel Scaloni's squad.

Argentina is steadily shifting into top gear

A few days ago, Argentina played a warm-up match against Honduras and secured a confident 2-0 victory. Lautaro Martínez and Giuliano Simeone found the net, and the team looked focused and well-organized throughout.

Yet the main talking point remains Lionel Messi's condition. The captain missed the Honduras match due to discomfort in his hamstring, but the coaching staff maintains an optimistic outlook. According to Scaloni, the forward has already rejoined group training in part and could see minutes specifically in the match against Iceland.
There is some bad news, though. On the eve of the game, it was announced that defender Leonardo Balerdi is out of the squad with a calf injury and will miss the World Cup. It's a notable loss for defensive depth, even though Argentina's overall squad strength remains impressive.

Iceland faces a team they've shocked before

For many fans, the fixture Argentina vs Iceland instantly brings back memories of the 2018 World Cup. Back then, the tournament debutants pulled off a stunning 1-1 draw, with goalkeeper Hannes Halldórsson famously saving Messi's penalty.
Of course, eight years have passed since then. Both squads have changed significantly, and this Iceland side no longer boasts the golden generation that made headlines at Euro 2016 and the World Cup in Russia. Still, the northerners remain a tough opponent for any favorite thanks to their discipline, physicality, and ability to defend in numbers.
For Iceland, this is a chance to remind the world of their presence against one of the top contenders for the World Cup crown.

Who to watch?

All eyes for Argentina will not only be on Messi, but also on Lautaro Martínez, Julián Álvarez, Rodrigo De Paul, Enzo Fernández, and Alexis Mac Allister. This core group powered the team to their 2022 World Cup and 2024 Copa América triumphs.

It will be especially intriguing to see what role Scaloni assigns to the younger talents. Friendlies ahead of big tournaments often provide coaches with the chance to test players who could become wild cards during the World Cup itself.
For Iceland, much will depend on defensive organization and set pieces. If the northerners can keep the score level for a long stretch, the pressure on the favorites could steadily mount.

What to expect from the match?

Most likely, Argentina will seize control from the opening whistle and look to dominate possession in attack. Iceland are expected to opt for a more cautious approach, focusing on defense and quick counterattacks.

The real question isn’t about who will dictate play, but rather how extensive Scaloni’s squad rotation will be. With so little time before the World Cup, it’s crucial for the coaching staff to not only secure a positive result but also avoid any fresh injuries.

My prediction: over 2.5 total goals.

Prediction on game Total over 2.5
Odds: 1.54
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