David Flower
Dailysports's expert
FC Porto
Famalicao
One of the matches of the 30th round of the Portuguese Championship will be played on Friday at the Dragão Stadium, where local Porto will host Famalicão. I suggest betting on the outcome of this clash with a good coefficient.
Match preview
The 'Dragons' last lifted the championship trophy in 2022, but this season the 'Dragons' have to settle for only third place in the league table. Martin Anselmi's team is currently ten points behind the leading Sporting and seems to have almost no chance of winning the gold medals.
On the last matchday, Porto played an away game against Casa Pia, which ended with a 1-0 victory for the 'Dragons'. However, before that, Porto hosted Benfica in a crucial match and lost with a crushing score of 1-4. Essentially, this eliminated the 'Dragons' from the championship race, and now the focus is on securing at least third place. Currently, Anselmi's team is one point behind Braga.
Famalicão entered the season as a solid mid-table team — relegation was not foreseen for them, and their squad allowed for a stable existence in the Primeira Liga. Hugo Oliveira's team is generally coping with the task: at the moment, the 'Whites' are in seventh place with 43 points. The gap from the play-out zone is a confident 20 points — the team can look ahead without concern and continue to gather points.
Moreover, the team is performing excellently in the last month, securing four victories in the last five rounds with only one defeat during this stretch. Heading into the match against Porto, the 'Whites' are on a three-game winning streak. Last weekend, Famalicão defeated Estoril with a score of 3-0.
Probable lineups
- Porto: Costa - Perez, Marcano, Otávio - João Mário, Eustáquio, Varela, Moura - Vieira, Samu, Borges
- Famalicão: Tsarevich – Edu, Mihai, De Haas, Rafa – De Amorim, Van de Loy, Sorrisso, Topic, Aranda – Seik
Match facts and head-to-head
- In the first round, Famalicão took points from Porto at home – 1:1
- The 'Total over 2.5' bet hit in three out of five matches
- The 'Both teams to score' bet hit in 4 out of 5 matches
Prediction
Bookmakers offer not too competitive odds of 1.48 for Porto's victory. After all, the 'Dragons' have won only one home match out of the last seven. It is better to take 'Total over 2.5' with odds of 1.90.
