Porto — Malmö Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 11 December 2025
On December 11, 2025, in the sixth round of the UEFA Europa League group stage, Porto will host Malmö. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Porto
Porto approach this match after a victory in their most recent game in the Liga Portugal, beating Tondela away 2–0. The team managed to recover from a rather disappointing defeat in the Portuguese League Cup, where they were eliminated in the quarter-finals after losing 1–3 to Vitória Guimarães.
In the league, Porto are currently leading the standings with 37 points, holding a five-point advantage over second-placed Sporting. Their statistics are impressive, with 27 goals scored and only 3 conceded, showing a very strong defensive performance. Their home form in the league is also excellent, with five wins, one draw and only one goal conceded in six matches.
In the Europa League, Porto’s latest match was at home against Nice, which they won convincingly 3–0. Overall, after five matches they have collected three victories, one draw and only one loss. With 10 points, Porto currently sit in 8th place in the competition table and maintain excellent chances of qualifying for the play-offs.
As for their home results, the loss against Vitória Guimarães was their only home loss this season in all competitions. Regarding head-to-head history with Malmö, the teams have never faced each other before, which adds additional intrigue to this upcoming fixture.
Malmö
Malmö finished the Swedish league season in disappointing fashion. The team ended up only sixth in the final standings and missed out on European competitions for next season. In their last six matches they managed just one victory, along with two draws and three defeats.
Things are not going well for Malmö in the Europa League either. After five group matches they have earned only one draw and suffered four losses, scoring just two goals while conceding ten. They currently sit 34th in the overall competition rankings and have only very slim chances of fighting for a place in the play-offs. Malmö lost both of their last two games in the tournament: first 0–1 at home against Panathinaikos, and most recently 0–3 away against Nottingham.
Malmö’s away form is also far from impressive. In their last five matches away from home they have recorded just one win, one draw and three defeats.
Probable Lineups
- Porto: D.Costa, Moura, Kiwior, Rosario, Alberto Baio, Froholdt, Varela, Gabri Veiga, Deniz Gul, Pepe, Samu
- Malmö: Ellborg, Busanello, Jansson, Rosler, Larsen, Skogmar, Johnsen, Berg, Haksabanovic, Ekong, Gudjohnsen
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Porto have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Porto have won 12 of their last 14 home matches.
- Porto have scored first in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Malmö have failed to win 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Malmö have conceded first in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Porto — Malmö Prediction
The teams approach this match with completely different moods, form and tournament positions. Porto are confidently leading their domestic league and sit high in the Europa League standings, even though they have already been knocked out of the Portuguese Cup. Meanwhile, Malmö failed their Swedish league campaign, missed out on European competitions for next season, and currently occupy a very low position in the Europa League. Porto are extremely solid at home, while Malmö struggle away, and in their last two Europa League matches they have not even managed to score. Taking all these factors into account, Porto are the clear favourites in this encounter. In our opinion, the Portuguese side should win this match rather comfortably. My bet for this match: Porto win with Asian Handicap -1.5 at odds of 1.65.
