Parma — Fiorentina Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 27 November 2025
On November 27, 2025, in Matchday 17 of the Italian Serie A, Parma will host Fiorentina. The match is scheduled to kick off at 12:30 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Parma
Parma approach this match in rather poor form. Over their last five matches, the team have managed to win only twice. In their most recent game, Parma lost at home to Lazio 1–0, despite playing with a numerical advantage from the first half and having two extra players for the final 15 minutes of the match. As a result, Parma currently sit 16th in the league table with 14 points, only two points above the relegation zone. After 15 rounds, the team have scored just 10 goals and conceded 18, making their attack the weakest in the league so far.
Parma’s home form is also far from convincing. In eight home matches this season, the team have collected only six points, and they have failed to win any of their last six home games.
Parma were recently eliminated from the Coppa Italia at the Round of 16 stage, losing 1–2 to Bologna.
Looking at recent home head-to-head meetings against Fiorentina, Parma have also struggled. In their last three home matches against Fiorentina, Parma have failed to secure a victory, recording two draws and one defeat.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina have finally managed to secure a victory in the league. After a long winless run, the team recorded a convincing 5–1 home win over Udinese. Despite this win, the team remain at the bottom of the league table with just 9 points. At the moment, Fiorentina are five points away from the safety zone. In terms of overall form, Fiorentina have looked far from convincing across all competitions. Over their last six matches in all tournaments, the team have recorded only two wins.
Fiorentina recently suffered a defeat in the UEFA Conference League, losing away to Lausanne in Switzerland. As a result, they failed to qualify directly for the Round of 16 and finished 15th in the standings. The team will now have to play additional playoff matches, with their opponent to be determined next year.
Looking at head-to-head meetings with Parma, the rivalry has been very tight. Fiorentina have not lost in their last eight matches against Parma. Seven of those games ended in draws, with Fiorentina winning only once. Additionally, five of the last eight meetings between these sides finished with a total under 2.5 goals.
Probable Lineups
- Parma: Corvi, Valenti, Del Prato, Troilo, Britschgi, Estevez, Keita, Valeri, Bernabe, Ondrejka, Pellegrino
- Fiorentina: De Gea, Podgracic, Viti, Comuzzo, Dodo, Ndour, Fagioli, Fortini, Parisi, Kean, Gudmundsson
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Parma have lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
- 3 of Parma’s last 4 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Fiorentina have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings have seen under 2.5 goals.
Parma — Fiorentina Prediction
Both teams are having far from their best season and currently find themselves near the bottom of the league table. Parma have been struggling in recent matches, failing to impress with their results. The team have gone six consecutive home games without a win and currently possess the weakest attacking record in Serie A. Fiorentina finally managed to secure their first league victory, but previous poor performances still keep the team in the relegation battle. Head-to-head meetings between these sides are traditionally very tight and hard-fought. Seven of the last eight encounters have ended in a draw, while Parma have failed to beat Fiorentina in eight consecutive matches. Most of those games were low-scoring, with the total staying under 2.5 goals. There is every reason to believe that this trend will continue in the upcoming match as well. My bet for this match: Total Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.73.
