Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 06 March 2026
The Matchday 25 clash of the 2025/26 French Ligue 1 will take place on Friday, March 6, at the Parc des Princes. This will be the third meeting between these sides in the last month: they recently battled in the Champions League playoffs, where PSG narrowly advanced (3-2 away and 2-2 at home). Currently, PSG are confidently leading the league, while Monaco are fighting to reclaim a spot in European competition.
Match preview
Under Luis Enrique, PSG are sitting comfortably at the top of the table, extending their lead over closest rivals Lens to four points. The Parisians have won nine of their last ten league matches and remain unbeaten at home since April last year. In the previous round, the league leaders pragmatically edged out Le Havre with a 1-0 victory. Luis Enrique is putting his faith in young star Désiré Doué in attack, who has hit phenomenal form (three goals in recent games against Monaco).
However, squad issues remain unresolved. Ousmane Dembélé is a doubt due to a calf problem, while Fabián Ruiz and Senny Mayulu are also sidelined. Despite this, PSG's squad depth allows them to rotate without sacrificing quality. At home, the Parisians average nearly three goals per game and will be eager to build on their Champions League success with another win over their arch-rivals in the league to tighten their grip on the title.
Monaco, under Belgian coach Sébastien Pocognoli, are gradually emerging from their slump. The team has won three Ligue 1 matches in a row, including a comeback victory over Angers (2-0) last weekend. These successes have lifted Monaco to 7th place, closing the gap to the Champions League spots to just six points. After their frustrating European exit at the hands of PSG (aggregate score 4-5), the team is now fully focused on the domestic campaign. Monaco already defeated PSG in the first round (1-0), giving them a vital psychological boost.
The main concern for the visitors is their overcrowded injury list. Defender Mohammed Salisu, Takumi Minamino, and goalkeeper Lukáš Hrádecký won't recover in time for this crucial fixture. Pocognoli will likely opt for a counter-attacking approach, utilizing the pace of Folarin Balogun, who has already caused PSG's defense plenty of problems in their recent head-to-heads.
Key facts and head-to-head
- PSG are unbeaten in four consecutive matches.
- Over 2 goals have been scored in six of PSG's last seven matches.
- Over 2 goals have been scored in four of Monaco's last five matches.
- Monaco scored first in four of their last five games.
- Both teams have scored in four of their last five meetings at Parc des Princes.
- The first-round match ended with a 1-0 win for Monaco.
Probable lineups
- PSG: Safonov - Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes - Zaïre-Emery, Lee, Vitinha - Doué, Barcola, Kvaratskhellia
- Monaco: Köhn - Vanderson, Kehrer, Faes, Henrique - Coulibaly, Camara, Golovin - Akliouche, Adingra, Balogun
Prediction
Clashes between these teams in 2026 have been a guarantee of goals. PSG will look to dominate at home, but their back line has regularly struggled against Monaco's well-organized counter-attacks. Given both sides' attacking styles and the history of their recent encounters, we can expect both teams to find the net and the total goals to go over. My prediction: Both teams to score – Yes.
