Paris Look to Extend Winning Run Against a Favorable Opponent | Paris Basketball vs ASVEL Prediction | October 7, 2026

Paris Basketball vs ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne prediction Photo: https://x.com/ParisBasketball/Author unknownn
Paris Basketball Paris Basketball
Euroleague (Round 4) 07 oct 2026, 14:45
Finished
96 : 98
International, Paris, Adidas Arena
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

Paris Basketball hosts LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne to Adidas Arena on October 7 for the fourth round of the EuroLeague. Both French sides have won their latest domestic games and enter the derby with identical 1-2 records in Europe, but Paris has enjoyed a clear advantage in this matchup, particularly on home court.

Paris Basketball

Paris Basketball had a disappointing EuroLeague campaign last season. The team finished 16th with 15 wins and 24 losses. Domestically, however, Paris enjoyed a much stronger campaign. The team reached the LNB Finals before losing the series to Monaco 3-2.

Paris also started the new season by winning the French Super Cup. The EuroLeague campaign was more difficult, as the team lost to Panathinaikos and Partizan in the opening two rounds. Paris then secured its first European victory by beating Zalgiris 82-78. Nadir Hifi led the team with 21 points. Paris now sits 17th in the standings with a 1-2 record.

Paris has averaged 75.5 points per game in the EuroLeague so far. The team has posted a 75.0 PIR and is shooting 44.4% from two-point range and 33.3% from three. Paris is also averaging 19.0 assists and 35.7 total rebounds per game. Nadir Hifi has been the team's main offensive threat, leading Paris with 15.0 points per game and a 10.5 PIR.

The team approaches this French derby in good form. Paris has won its last two games and three of its last four across all competitions. It also remains unbeaten in the LNB. Paris most recently defeated Le Mans 103-101, with Hifi producing another excellent performance of 33 points, four rebounds and nine assists.

The head-to-head record also strongly favors Paris. The team has won the last five meetings against ASVEL on its home court.

Lyon Villeurbanne

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne had an even tougher EuroLeague campaign last season. The team finished 18th with just eight wins from 42 games. Their away record was particularly poor, with only two victories in 19 road games. Domestically, ASVEL finished fourth in the regular season before being eliminated by Cholet in the quarterfinals.

The new EuroLeague campaign started more positively, as ASVEL defeated Maccabi 84-74 in the opening round. However, the team then suffered heavy defeats to Panathinaikos and Valencia, losing 79-102 and 92-105 respectively. Patty Mills was ASVEL's leading scorer against Valencia with 26 points. ASVEL now sits 16th with a 1-2 record.

ASVEL has posted some encouraging offensive numbers despite the difficult results. The team is averaging 81.5 points per game and has a PIR of 85.3. ASVEL is shooting 45.8% from two-point range and an impressive 47.1% from three. The team is also averaging 23.0 defensive rebounds and 20.0 assists per game. Jae Crowder has been the team's leading performer so far, averaging 15.5 PIR.

ASVEL remains unbeaten in the LNB this season. The team most recently defeated Gravelines 76-65.

However, recent meetings against Paris have been difficult for ASVEL. The team has lost the last three encounters with Paris and seven of their last 10 meetings overall.

Key Trends

  • Paris has won 7 of the last 10 meetings with ASVEL.
  • Paris has won the last 5 home H2H meetings.
  • Paris has won the last 3 games against ASVEL.
  • ASVEL had only 2 away wins in 19 EuroLeague road games last season.

Prediction

There is little to separate the teams in the EuroLeague standings after three rounds, but the matchup history gives Paris a significant advantage. The hosts have consistently performed well against ASVEL at Adidas Arena, winning the last five home meetings, while the visitors' poor away record in last season's EuroLeague is another concern. Paris also enters the game with growing confidence after its first EuroLeague win and another high-scoring domestic victory. Hifi has been particularly influential during the team's recent run, while ASVEL has struggled to contain opponents in its two latest EuroLeague games. With the home factor, recent head-to-head dominance and current momentum all pointing in the same direction, Paris looks capable of covering a small handicap in this French derby. Recommended Bet: Paris Basketball -4.5 Asian Handicap

Prediction on game W1(-4.5)
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