Pachuca vs Monterrey prediction, H2H and probable lineups — July 14, 2025
The opening round of the Mexican Apertura brings a thrilling clash between Pachuca and Monterrey. The match will take place overnight into Monday, July 14, kicking off at 01:00 Central European Time. Let’s break down the best bet on goals for this showdown.
Pachuca
Pachuca head into the start of the Mexican Liga Apertura after a disappointing Club World Cup campaign, where they lost all three matches—to Salzburg, Al Hilal, and Real Madrid. In the most recent Clausura, Pachuca finished eighth and reached the playoffs through the play-in, notably knocking out Monterrey, but fell to Club América in the quarterfinals: a goalless draw at home and a 0-2 defeat away.
Recent head-to-heads haven’t gone well for Pachuca, especially at home against Monterrey: three consecutive home defeats, two of which saw them fail to score. Their last home win over Monterrey dates back to 2022, when Pachuca confidently dispatched their rivals 5-2 in the Apertura semifinals.
Monterrey
Monterrey also represented Mexico at the Club World Cup and, unlike Pachuca, delivered a much stronger showing. The team went unbeaten in the group stage: drawing with Inter and River Plate and defeating Japan’s Urawa. In the round of 16, Monterrey put up a fight against Borussia Dortmund, but ultimately lost 1-2.
In the last Clausura, despite losing the play-in to Pachuca, Monterrey got a second chance and overcame UNAM Pumas to reach the quarterfinals. There, they met Toluca and suffered a narrow exit: a 3-2 home win and a 1-2 away defeat weren’t enough to advance due to the away goals rule—Toluca would go on to become champions.
When it comes to trips to Pachuca, Monterrey have been impressive—three straight away wins. However, the last two meetings went Pachuca’s way: first a 3-2 victory in the Clausura group stage, then a 2-1 triumph in the play-in.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Pachuca have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Pachuca’s last 5 matches.
- Three of Pachuca’s last 4 matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Monterrey are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Monterrey have won 3 of their last 4 away head-to-heads.
- Three of the last 4 head-to-heads ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads.
Probable lineups
- Pachuca: Moreno, Rodriguez, Eduardo, Aceves, Cabral, Bautista, Montiel, Dominguez, Kennedy, Idrissi, Hernandez.
- Monterrey: Andrada, Guzmán, Ramos, Medina, Arteaga, Torres, Deossa, Canales, Aguirre, Corona, Bertrame.
Pachuca vs Monterrey match prediction
We’re in for a fascinating battle between two evenly matched teams who know each other well and have a history of high-scoring encounters. It’s the start of the season, the opening round, and there’s no pressure from the standings yet—so both sides will be eager to start with a win and showcase attacking football. Head-to-head, Pachuca and Monterrey often play open, end-to-end games, and this clash should be no exception. My pick for this match: both teams to score, odds 1.67.
