Ourense vs Athletic Bilbao prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 18, 2025
One of the ties in the Copa del Rey round of 32 will be played on Thursday at the “O Couto” stadium in Ourense, where the local side Ourense will host Athletic Bilbao. Here’s my take on the outcome, as the La Liga visitors face a tricky challenge to avoid an upset amid their inconsistent form.
- See also: AEK Athens vs Universitatea Craiova prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 18, 2025
Match preview
The Galician side come into this clash on a high after pulling off an incredible win over Girona in the previous Copa del Rey round—a result that stands as the highlight of their season. Despite drawing with Barakaldo and losing to Merida in their latest league fixtures, Ourense have shown solid form, especially on home turf, where they are unbeaten in seven consecutive matches. That makes the hosts a dangerous opponent, particularly in the knockout format where upsets are always on the cards.
Ourense know how to create chances and score regularly—their average goal output exceeds two per game. Their attacking partnership stands out, capable of capitalizing on any defensive lapse. Aggressive football and vocal home support are the main weapons for Ourense, who will be looking to pull off another cup shock.
Athletic haven’t enjoyed the brightest of weeks—a defeat to Celta and a goalless draw with PSG have highlighted the team’s lack of sharpness. However, the Basque side have long viewed the Copa as a route to European football, so motivation will be sky-high given their struggles in La Liga. The coaching staff are likely to field a strong lineup despite a congested schedule, as an early exit would be seen as a major setback.
Goals have been hard to come by in recent matches—just one in their last three outings. Still, with the attacking talent and cup pedigree in their ranks, Athletic should be able to assert their class and tactical discipline. The key will be to avoid letting the hosts set the tempo early and not to underestimate Ourense’s fighting spirit, as Girona learned the hard way.
Probable lineups
- Ourense: Raton, Carmona, Sanz, Coto, Sanchez, Ramos, Vasquez, Raton, Camus, Vasquez, Camus
- Athletic Bilbao: Simon, Berchiche, Vivian, Lekue, Paredes, Sancet, Vesga, De Galarreta, Berenguer, Guruzeta, Williams
Match facts and head-to-head
- Ourense are unbeaten at home for seven matches running.
- Athletic have won just one of their last five away games.
- This will be the first official meeting between the clubs.
Prediction
Despite being clear favorites, the Basques face a tough trip to Galicia, where the hosts have already shown they can knock out top-flight opposition. Still, even with their current issues, Athletic should get the job done if they play with focus. The pick here is an “Athletic win” at 1.50 odds, but don’t expect an easy ride for the Lions.
