Oleksandriya — Obolon Kyiv Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 23 February 2026

FC Oleksandriya vs Obolon Kyiv prediction Photo: https://fco.com.ua/Author unknownn
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0 : 3
Ukraine, Oleksandriia, Stadion Nika
Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv

On February 23, 2026, in Matchday 17 of the Ukrainian Premier League, Oleksandriya will host Obolon Kyiv. The match is set to kick off at 12:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Oleksandriya

FC Oleksandriya are going through a very difficult season. Compared to last season, when the team finished near the top of the table, the situation this year is completely different. Before the winter break, Oleksandriya went on a nine-match winless run in the league. After 16 rounds, the team have recorded just 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats. With only 11 points, Oleksandriya sit in 15th place in the standings.

In terms of home form, Oleksandriya picked up both of their league wins at home, along with one draw and five defeats. Even so, this record places them only 13th in the league by home results. During the winter break, the team prepared for the restart by playing friendly matches and overall had a fairly solid training camp: 8 matches played, just one loss, three draws, and four wins.

As for home head-to-head matches against Obolon Kyiv, Oleksandriya clearly hold the advantage. The team have never lost to this opponent at home, and in the last four meetings between the sides, Oleksandriya have recorded three wins and one draw.

Obolon Kyiv

As for Obolon Kyiv, the team occupy a fairly familiar position in the league table. They went into the winter break sitting in 12th place, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats. Obolon are only two points above the relegation zone. It is also worth noting that Obolon have the weakest attack in the league, scoring just 12 goals in 16 matches — the worst record in the competition so far. In terms of away form, however, the team perform reasonably well: 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, which places them 10th in the league by away results.

Before the winter break, Obolon were on a four-match winless run, suffering three defeats and one draw. During the mid-season break, the team played several friendly matches as part of their preparation, but the results were not particularly impressive either: one win, four draws, and one defeat in six games.

As for head-to-head meetings against FC Oleksandriya, Obolon won the first-round match at home 1–0. That victory was their first against Oleksandriya in the last nine encounters, as Oleksandriya had previously gone nine consecutive matches without defeat in this matchup.

Probable Lineups

  • Oleksandriya: Makarenko, Amaral, Buletsa, Fernando, Ferreira, Kremchanin, Oharkov, Prokopenko, Shostak, Shulyanskyi, Vashchenko
  • Obolon Kyiv: Marchenko, Lomnytskyi, Moroz, Prokopenko Y., Pryimak, Semenov, Polegenyiko, Slobodyan, Teslyuk, Ustymenko, Volokhatyi

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • 3 of Oleksandriya’s last 4 home matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
  • Obolon Kyiv have failed to win 9 of their last 10 matches.
  • Oleksandriya have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head home meetings.
  • Oleksandriya have won or drawn 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.

Oleksandriya — Obolon Kyiv Prediction

This match will be the first official game after the winter break for both teams. Oleksandriya went into the break on a run of nine consecutive matches without a win and currently sit in the relegation zone, making every single point extremely important. Obolon also ended the first part of the season poorly, failing to win in their last four matches, and are only a few points clear of the danger zone. Overall, Oleksandriya have the upper hand in recent head-to-head meetings against this opponent, but it is worth noting that in the first round of this season it was Obolon who claimed a victory. Considering that this is the opening match after the winter break, the likely difficult weather conditions, and the high importance of the result for both sides, there are strong reasons to expect a cautious and low-scoring encounter. Recommended bet: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.5.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.5
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