Norwich vs Stoke City: Prediction, H2H and probable line-ups — 4 January 2026

Norwich vs Stoke prediction Ben Roberts Photo/Getty Images
EFL Championship (Round 26) 04 jan 2026, 10:00
Finished
0 : 2
England, Norwich, Carrow Road
75'
Sam Gallagher
82'
Sorba Thomas

On Sunday, January 4, in the 26th round of the Championship, Norwich will host Stoke City on their home turf. For more on the teams' form and a match prediction, read on below.

See also: Sheffield United vs Oxford prediction and betting tips 04 January 2026

Match preview

In the 2025/26 season, Norwich are striving to play attacking football, but their efforts are undermined by poor finishing and numerous defensive errors. The Canaries have picked up only 24 points from 25 rounds and find themselves in the relegation zone, trailing safety by just one point. Recently, Norwich have looked more stable: only one defeat in their last seven matches and the team is gradually coming back to life.

At home, Norwich aim to dominate. The team actively uses the flanks, combines frequently in midfield, and seeks to control possession for long stretches, gradually breaking down the opposition's defense. However, their high tempo and wide positioning often lead to vulnerabilities after turnovers, which opponents exploit with quick counterattacks. It's crucial for the hosts to impose their rhythm from the opening minutes and not let the game become too physical and scrappy.

Stoke City, in the 2025/26 season, look more pragmatic. The team focuses on physical strength, a compact defense, and simple, vertical attacking plays. The Potters have spent most of the campaign chasing a playoff spot, relying on discipline and resilience to pick up points. After 25 matches, Stoke have already accumulated 37 points and sit ninth in the table. Away from home, Stoke play cautiously, rarely taking risks and generally preferring to sit back and hit on the break.

In attack, Stoke City make good use of set pieces and crosses, looking to overload the penalty area and win aerial duels. Quick transitions from defense to attack remain one of the team's main weapons, especially against opponents who keep the ball for long spells and leave space behind their back line.

Probable line-ups

Norwich: Kovacevic; Fisher, McConville, Cordoba, Chrisene; McLean, Mattson, Jurasek, Wright, Makama; Sargent
Stoke: Simkin; Talovierov, Phillips, Wilmot, Gibson; Rigo, Lawal; Manhoef, Bae, Thomas; Gallagher

Match facts and head-to-head

  • In the last five meetings, Norwich have three wins and two draws
  • Norwich have won three of their last five games
  • Stoke City have won two of their last five matches

Prediction

Both teams have struggled to score in recent games, and Norwich have been quite solid defensively at home. My prediction: total goals under 2.5 at 1.9

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.9
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