Nice vs Le Havre: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 12.04.2026

Nice vs Le Havre prediction Photo: ligue1.fr / Author unknown
Ligue 1 France (Round 29) 12 apr 2026, 11:15
Finished
1 : 1
France, Nice, Allianz Riviera
Ali Abdi
59'
41'
Mbwana Samatta

One of the matches of the upcoming round of the French championship will take place on Sunday in Nice at the Allianz Riviera, where Nice will host Le Havre. Let's take a closer look at this clash from a cautious prediction perspective: with so much at stake in the relegation battle, this game could easily turn out tense, scrappy, and with very little space on offer.

Match preview

Nice are going through a tough spell and no longer look like a team capable of calmly controlling matches where they’re favorites. In the previous round, the southerners lost 1-3 to Strasbourg, and in 2026, every point has come at a high price, leaving the club dangerously close to the relegation playoff zone.

The home form is especially worrying for the hosts: in the current calendar year, they haven’t won a single home Ligue 1 match, losing the last two by an aggregate score of 0-8. On top of that, Nice are dealing with significant personnel issues, including suspensions for several key players, so there’s little reason to back the favorite here with confidence.

Le Havre aren’t exactly comfortable either, but they do have a slightly better position in the standings. In the last round, they drew 1-1 with Auxerre, held on to 14th place, and maintained a minimal gap over the nearest chasers, though their winless run in the league has now stretched to six matches.

The visitors’ main problem is their lack of attacking punch and poor away performances – Le Havre have lost four straight away games in Ligue 1. But in scrappy encounters like this, Didier Digard’s team knows how to grind out results through compactness, discipline, and sheer resilience. Their 3-1 win over Nice in the reverse fixture will surely give the visitors an added boost of confidence.

Probable lineups

  • Nice: Diouf, Mendy, Ba, Bard, Clauss, Louchet, Ndombele, Jansson, Diop, Cho, Wahi.
  • Le Havre: Diaw, Nego, Sangante, Seko, Zouaoui, Lloris, Ebonog, Boufal, Gournadouath, Ndiaye, Soumare.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Nice lost 1-3 to Strasbourg in the previous round.
  • Le Havre are winless in six consecutive league matches.
  • Le Havre beat Nice 3-1 in the reverse fixture.

Prediction

This is a classic points-at-stake, nerves-on-edge fixture where both sides will be desperate to avoid costly mistakes. Nice lack stability and are missing too many players, while Le Havre rarely offer open football away from home. The cautious bet here is on a low-scoring affair – under 2.5 goals looks optimal, with a 0-0 draw the most likely result on the scoreline.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.82
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