Newcastle — Leeds Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 7 January 2026
On January 7, 2026, in Matchday 21 of the English Premier League, Newcastle will host Leeds. The match is set to kick off at 21:15 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Newcastle
Newcastle come into this match after two confident wins: a 3–1 away victory over Burnley followed by a 2–0 home triumph against Crystal Palace. These results helped the team bounce back after a draw against Chelsea and a loss to Manchester United.
At the moment, Newcastle sit ninth in the Premier League table with 29 points, trailing the Champions League zone by just five points. The team’s home form has been quite solid. In ten home matches this season, Newcastle have collected 20 points. Overall, Newcastle are enjoying a strong home run, winning nine of their last eleven home games and drawing twice. Their last home defeat came at the end of September.
Newcastle are also performing well in other competitions. In the Champions League, the team remain in contention for a place in the knockout stage. After this match, they will face two cup fixtures — an FA Cup tie against Bournemouth, followed by the first leg of the EFL Carabao Cup semi-final against Manchester City.
However, Newcastle have experienced certain difficulties in recent home matches against Leeds. The Magpies have failed to beat this opponent at home in their last four meetings, recording three draws and one defeat. Three of those four encounters were low-scoring affairs, finishing with a total of under 2.5 goals.
Leeds
Leeds United come into this match in decent form, remaining unbeaten in their last seven games with two wins and five draws. Notably, this run included victories over Chelsea and Crystal Palace, as well as draws against Sunderland, Brentford, and twice against Liverpool and Manchester United. Their last two matches at home ended in draws: 0–0 against Liverpool and 1–1 against Manchester United.
Despite this positive run, Leeds still face difficulties in the league table. They currently sit 16th, with 21 points, although they maintain an eight- point cushion above the relegation zone. Most of the points that the team has scored this season have been on home soil, but the team is playing extremely poorly away from home. In 10 Premier League away matches this season, Leeds have collected only six points, scoring 8 goals and conceding 20. According to this indicator, the team ranks 18th in the Premier League.
If you look at the head-to-head matches against Newcastle, the teams are very competitive in their last matches. Leeds have not won against this opponent in five matches in a row, with four draws and one defeat in four of these five matches. The total score in the match was less than 2.5 goals.
Probable Lineups
- Newcastle: Pope, Hall, Thiaw, Schär, Miley, Tonali, Joelinton, Guimarães, Gordon, Murphy, Wissa
- Leeds: Lucas Perri, Bornauw, Bijol, Struijk, Aaronson, Ampadu, Justin, Stach, Gudmundsson, Okafor, Calvert-Lewin
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Newcastle have won or drawn 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Newcastle have won 9 of their last 11 home matches.
- Leeds are unbeaten in their last 7 matches.
- 4 of Leeds’ last 5 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
- 4 of last 5 head-to-head meetings have seen under 2.5 goals.
Newcastle — Leeds Prediction
Both teams come into this match in fairly good form. Newcastle are very confident at home, having gone 11 consecutive home matches without defeat. The team look solid across all competitions they are involved in and approach this clash after two straight victories. Leeds have also found good form recently, going seven matches in a row without a defeat. However, despite this run, they remain closer to the bottom of the league table. In recent games, Leeds have been playing in a cautious manner, with most of their matches ending as low-scoring affairs. Recent meetings between these two sides have usually been tight and competitive. Four of the last five head-to-head encounters ended in draws, and four of those matches finished with a total of under 2.5 goals. Considering Newcastle’s strong home form, their past struggles against Leeds at St. James’ Park, and Leeds’ current unbeaten run with a cautious approach, this match is likely to be highly competitive. Everything suggests another tense, low-scoring encounter. My bet for this match: Total Under 3 goals at odds of 1.56.
