New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Match Preview and Key Trends | May 28, 2026
New York Liberty
Phoenix Mercury
On May 28, 2026, New York Liberty host Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA regular season. Both teams enter this matchup struggling badly early in the campaign and desperately looking to end their current losing streaks.
Match Preview
New York Liberty continue to experience a difficult stretch of the season. In their latest game, Liberty suffered a 74-81 home defeat against Portland Fire. Even a strong performance from Breanna Stewart, who recorded 25 points and 7 rebounds, was not enough to prevent the team from losing their third consecutive game.
Notably, all three recent defeats came on New York’s home court. Liberty currently sit fourth in the Eastern Conference standings with a 3-4 record.
At home, the team have won only one of their first four games this season. Offensively, however, New York remain one of the league’s most dangerous teams, averaging 88.6 points per game. Defense continues to be the main issue, with Liberty allowing 86.7 points per contest.
Breanna Stewart remains the clear leader of the team, averaging 21.3 points and 9 rebounds per game, while Julie Vanloo currently leads the team in assists.
Recent home meetings against Phoenix have also been problematic for Liberty. New York lost 2 of the last 3 home games against Mercury, and it was Phoenix who eliminated Liberty from the WNBA playoffs last season.
Phoenix Mercury are also far from satisfied with their start to the season. In their latest game, Mercury suffered a narrow 80-82 road defeat against Atlanta Dream, extending their losing streak to 3 consecutive matches as well.
Phoenix currently sit bottom of the Western Conference standings with a 2-5 record.
Offensively, Mercury post very similar numbers to Liberty, averaging 87.3 points per game. Defensively, though, the team continue to struggle badly, conceding around 87 points per contest.
Kahleah Copper remains Phoenix’s leading scorer with 18.7 points per game. Natasha Mack has been the team’s strongest rebounder, while Alyssa Thomas averages 8 assists per match.
On the road, Mercury have played three games and managed only one victory. However, Phoenix continue to dominate the recent head-to-head series, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings against Liberty.
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Key Trends
- New York Liberty lost 4 of their last 5 games.
- Phoenix Mercury lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
- 5 of Phoenix’s last 6 games finished over 171.5 total points.
- Phoenix Mercury won 3 of the last 4 meetings against Liberty.
Prediction
Both teams enter this matchup in poor form and desperately need a positive result to stop their losing streaks. At the same time, both sides continue to show very similar profiles — strong offensive potential combined with unstable defensive play. Neither team has looked reliable defensively so far, regularly allowing opponents to score at a high rate. Considering the defensive struggles, urgency for both sides to respond, and recent high-scoring trends surrounding Phoenix games, this matchup strongly favors an open and fast-paced contest with plenty of points. Recommended bet: Over 170 Total Points
