Netherlands vs Lithuania prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 17, 2025
One of the matches of the 10th round of the European qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup will take place on Monday at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam, where the Netherlands will host Lithuania. I'm offering a bet on the outcome of this clash with solid chances for success.
Match preview
The Netherlands have confidently approached the final stretch of the qualifiers, remaining unbeaten and topping their group. In the previous round, the Dutch drew with Poland, but that was enough to keep them in the lead. On home turf, the team is traditionally strong, and emphatic wins over the likes of Malta and Finland only reinforce their dominance.
Even a minimal draw in this match would be enough for a direct ticket to the World Cup. But there’s no reason to expect them to take their foot off the gas — the squad boasts an excellent balance between attack and defense, and the motivation to finish strong in front of their fans is at its peak.
Lithuania, on the other hand, have endured a disappointing qualifying campaign and find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table. They've lost their last three qualification matches and are winless in 15 consecutive away games. Even in a friendly against Israel this week, they failed to score — settling for a 0-0 draw.
The Baltic side look toothless in attack, especially away from home, where they’ve managed just one goal in their last seven qualifiers. It’s hard to expect a breakthrough in Amsterdam — against a team that has already proven its dominance in the group.
Probable lineups
- Netherlands: Bart Verbruggen, Virgil van Dijk, Lutsharel Geertruida, Jurriën Timber, Micky van de Ven, Ryan Gravenberch, Justin Kluivert, Frenkie de Jong, Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo, Donyell Malen
- Lithuania: Tomas Švedkauskas, Vilius Armalas, Pijus Širvys, Edvinas Girdvainis, Artemijus Tutyškinas, Justas Lasickas, Gratas Sirgėdas, Gvidas Gineitis, Paulius Golubickas, Vykintas Slivka, Fedor Černych
Match facts and head-to-head
- The Netherlands are unbeaten in their last 16 World Cup qualifiers.
- Lithuania are winless in their last 15 away matches.
- In 8 of their last 10 qualifiers, the Netherlands have scored at least two goals.
Prediction
The Netherlands, even in the event of a loss, have practically secured top spot, but don’t expect a lackluster performance. At home, the team plays with confidence and firepower, especially against underdogs. Lithuania, meanwhile, have been extremely poor and are unlikely to even grab a consolation goal in this fixture. Given the gulf in class, squad depth, and the hosts' motivation to delight their supporters, we suggest betting on a big win for the favorite. Our pick: "Netherlands to win with a -3.0 handicap" at odds of 1.68.
