Netherlands have lost just once in 22 matches: prediction for Greece — Netherlands
The UEFA Nations League third-round match between Greece and the Netherlands will take place on October 1 at Toumba Stadium. The hosts made a perfect start to the tournament and top the group with six points, while Xavi’s team sit second with four points.
Greece: two wins and an unexpected lead
Greece entered the Nations League after an unconvincing first half of the year, but stepped up dramatically in September. First, Ivan Jovanović’s team snatched a 2-1 victory over Serbia thanks to Anastasios Douvikas’ goal in the 94th minute, then pulled off a genuine sensation by beating Germany 1-0 away from home.
Six points from two rounds sent Greece to the top of the group. The winning lineup has barely changed, although Dimitris Kourbelis, who scored against Germany, and Charalampos Kostoulas could return to the starting XI.
Netherlands: seven matches unbeaten in regular time
The Netherlands have gone seven matches without defeat over 90 minutes — recording four wins and three draws. Moreover, the team’s only loss in their last 22 matches in regular time remains an exception during an otherwise highly consistent run.
Under Xavi, the national team first drew 1-1 with Germany, creating 3.18 xG compared with the opponent’s 1.45, and then beat Serbia 2-1 thanks to a brace from Mexx Meerdink. A win in Thessaloniki would allow the visitors to overtake Greece and move into first place.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Greece have won both of their opening Nations League matches.
- The Netherlands are unbeaten in seven consecutive matches in regular time.
- The Netherlands have won nine of their previous 11 matches against Greece.
Hosts’ winning run under threat: prediction for Greece — Netherlands
Greece have already proved that their place at the top is no fluke: victories over Serbia and Germany require a serious level of organization. At home, the team will surely look to remain compact once again and make the most of its chances.
However, the Netherlands have looked highly consistent over the long term and possess a deeper pool of quality players. Even without Cody Gakpo and Brian Brobbey, their attack remains dangerous enough, while their strong head-to-head record gives the visitors additional arguments.
