Napoli vs Fiorentina: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 31 January 2026

SSC Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction Photo: beinsports.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 23) 31 jan 2026, 12:00
Finished
2 : 1
Italy, Naples, Diego Armando Maradona
Antonio Vergara
11'
Miguel Gutierrez
49'
57'
Manor Solomon

One of the matches of Serie A’s 23rd round will be played on Saturday at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples, where the local side Napoli will host Fiorentina. Let’s take a closer look at a potential outcome bet, considering the current form of both teams.

Match preview

Antonio Conte’s side crashed out of the Champions League after failing to overcome Chelsea, despite a respectable performance. This defeat only extended a run of poor results, as Napoli continue to drop points in Serie A and risk losing touch with league leaders Inter.

Against the backdrop of European disappointment and a growing injury list (Vanja Milinković-Savić is sidelined again, while De Bruyne, Zambo Anguissa, Neres, Gilmour and others remain out), Napoli are forced to shuffle their squad. In these circumstances, young players are getting their chance to shine – for example, Vergara, who scored in the Champions League.

Fiorentina also suffered a setback this week, crashing out of the Coppa Italia at the hands of Como. Despite overall progress under Paolo Vanoli, the team remains in the relegation zone, and their last Serie A match ended in a 1-2 defeat to Cagliari.

The squad is also depleted – Piccoli is injured, Kean is just returning to fitness. The team struggles to convert chances, and the defense is prone to errors almost every game. The trip to Naples is a real test, especially considering Fiorentina have managed just one away win all season.

Probable line-ups

  • Napoli: Meret, Jesus, Buongiorno, Bøekema, Spinazzola, McTominay, Lobotka, Gutiérrez, Elmas, Vergara, Højlund
  • Fiorentina: De Gea, Dodo, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Gosens, Mandragora, Fagioli, Harrison, N'Dour, Brescianini, Gudmundsson

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Napoli have won five of their last seven matches against Fiorentina
  • Both teams have scored in four of the last five Serie A meetings
  • Fiorentina have lost three of their last four trips to Naples

Prediction

Both teams come into this match after cup defeats, but Napoli have more depth and experience to bounce back mentally. Despite injuries, the Neapolitans boast enough attacking firepower to break down an unstable Fiorentina side. The visitors continue to struggle defensively and rarely impress away from home. The hosts should be closer to victory in this hard-fought encounter.

Prediction on game Win SSC Napoli
Odds: 1.84
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