Napoli vs Como: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 10 February 2026

SSC Napoli vs Como prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Finished
1 : 1
Penalty
6 : 7
Italy,
Antonio Vergara
46'
39' (P)
Martin Baturina

One of the most intriguing matches of the Coppa Italia quarterfinal stage will take place on Tuesday in Naples at the legendary Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, where reigning Serie A champions Napoli host ambitious Como. The hosts are dreaming of a seventh cup trophy, while the visitors are enjoying the best season in their history and are ready to challenge the favorites. Let’s take a look at a betting pick for this showdown with strong chances of success.

Match preview

For Napoli, this year’s Coppa Italia is one of their top priorities after an early Champions League exit. In the previous round, Antonio Conte’s side only scraped past Cagliari on penalties (1-1, 9-8 on pens), and that match revealed just how fragile this squad can be when dealing with injuries. Nevertheless, at home, the Neapolitans remain extremely reliable – they haven’t lost at the Maradona in domestic competitions in over a year.

In Serie A, Napoli have gradually stabilized their form, beating Fiorentina and Genoa, albeit in nervy fashion. The team still heavily relies on McTominay and Højlund, while an extensive injury list limits Conte’s tactical options. However, the cup format and experience in high-stakes matches remain major assets for the hosts.

Como are one of the season’s biggest revelations in Italy. Cesc Fàbregas’ men confidently knocked out Südtirol, Sassuolo, and Fiorentina in the cup, and have established themselves in the race for European spots in the league. Before the break, the Lombards put together an impressive run, defeating Lazio (3-0) and Torino (6-0), showcasing their explosive attacking potential.

A slight dip came in the draw against Atalanta (0-0), where Como missed a penalty and failed to capitalize on a man advantage. Still, the team enjoyed a full week’s rest due to the postponement of their match with Milan, and the visitors’ squad is close to full strength. This makes Como a highly dangerous underdog in the cup format.

Probable line-ups

  • Napoli: Milinković-Savić; Beukema, Rrahmani, Jesus; Gutiérrez, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola; Vergara, Elmas; Højlund
  • Como: Butez; Smolčić, Ramon, Kempf, Valle; Perrone, Da Cunha; Vojvoda, Paz, Baturina; Douvikas

Facts and head-to-head

  • Napoli have not lost a domestic match at home in over a year.
  • The teams played out a 0-0 draw in Naples in Serie A in November.
  • Como have won all three of their Coppa Italia matches this season.

Prediction

Given the injuries and a packed schedule, Napoli are unlikely to dominate as their fans are used to. Como are well-organized, physically fresh, and have already proven they’re not afraid of visiting the giants. Still, the hosts’ cup experience and psychological resilience could prove decisive again. We expect both teams to find the net, but the ticket to the semifinals will likely be decided in extra time – or perhaps even by penalties.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.9
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