Napoli vs Cagliari prediction, H2H and probable line-ups - 3 December 2025

SSC Napoli vs Cagliari prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Coppa Italia (Round 1/8) 03 dec 2025, 12:00
Finished
1 : 1
Penalty
9 : 8
Italy,
Lorenzo Lucca
28'
67'
Sebastiano Esposito

One of the Coppa Italia Round of 16 clashes will take place on Wednesday at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples, where local giants Napoli host Cagliari. I’m backing a bet on goals here, with promising odds for success.

Match preview

Napoli are just kicking off their Coppa Italia campaign, and after disappointments in recent editions, their motivation will be sky-high. The team is traditionally dominant at home—just one defeat in regulation time across their last 12 cup outings in Naples speaks volumes. However, defensive consistency is still lacking: in five of their last seven cup matches, opponents managed to score at least twice.

The hosts’ attack has the quality and intensity to decide the game. In their last eight Coppa Italia matches at home, Napoli have averaged two goals per game, and in three of their previous four home Serie A games against Cagliari, they’ve struck at least twice. Expect the Neapolitans to press hard up front and try to settle the contest early on.

Cagliari have confidently navigated two cup rounds so far, but both matches were played at home. On the road, however, the team has been highly inconsistent: six losses in their last seven away fixtures in this competition. Conceding 18 goals during that stretch is a worrying sign, especially before visiting one of the most prolific attacking sides.

Defensively, the Sardinians have been shaky—conceding three or more goals in four of those seven away cup matches. Their attack isn’t much steadier either: in those same seven games, they’ve only managed to score more than once on a single occasion. With such stats, pulling off a result in Naples looks like a tall order.

Probable line-ups

  • Napoli: Milinković-Savić, Buongiorno, Rrahmani, Beukema, Olivera, Lobotka, McTominay, Di Lorenzo, Neres, Højlund, Lang
  • Cagliari: Caprile, Zappa, Obert, Luperto, Deiola, Palestra, Litetia, Folorunsho, Adopo, Borrelli, Esposito

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Napoli have scored at least two goals in three of their last four home Serie A matches against Cagliari.
  • Cagliari have lost six of their last seven Coppa Italia away games.
  • Cagliari have conceded two or more goals in six of their last seven league matches.

Prediction

Given the visitors’ poor away form and the hosts’ motivation, I expect a strong attacking display from Napoli. Antonio Conte’s men should make their superiority count and break through Cagliari’s defence at least twice.

Prediction on game SSC Napoli Total over 1.5
Odds: 1.7
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