Napoli — Milan Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 18 December 2025
On December 18, 2025, in the semi-finals of Italian Super Cup, Napoli will play against Milan. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Napoli
Napoli approach the Italian Super Cup match following two consecutive defeats. In their most recent UEFA Champions League game, the team lost 0–2 away to Benfica. Over the weekend in Serie A, Napoli were also defeated away by Udinese, losing 0–1.
In Serie A, Napoli have dropped from the top spot in the standings, falling behind both Milan and Inter. They currently sit in third place, trailing Inter by 2 points and Milan by 1 point. In the Champions League, Napoli find themselves in a difficult position, sitting 23rd in the standings with 7 points. Key upcoming fixtures against Copenhagen and Chelsea will be decisive for securing a spot in the knockout stage.
Regarding the Super Cup, Napoli did not participate last year. In 2023, they reached the final but lost to Inter. Overall, Napoli have not won the Italian Super Cup for a long time, with their last victory dating back to 2014.
As for head-to-head encounters against Milan this season, the teams have already met in Serie A, with Milan winning 2–1.
Milan
Milan have been in very good form this season. The team has suffered only two defeats so far: an early Serie A loss at home to Cremonese and a 0–1 exit in the Coppa Italia against Lazio. In their most recent Serie A match, Milan drew 2–2 at home against Sassuolo, allowing Inter to overtake them in the race for the top spot in the league table.
Overall, Milan have been confident, recording four wins and two draws in their last six Serie A matches. However, the team has shown some defensive vulnerabilities in recent games, conceding two goals in both matches against Sassuolo and Torino.
Looking at head-to-head encounters against Napoli, the teams have shown balanced results. In the last six meetings, both teams have won twice, while two matches ended in draws. Four of the six most recent encounters saw both teams scoring.
Regarding the Super Cup, Milan are the defending champions, having won last year’s final 3–2 against Inter.
Probable Lineups
- Napoli: Milinkovic-Savic, Beukema, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Di Lorenzo, McTominay, Elmas, Spinazzola, Lang, Neres, Hojlund
- Milan: Maignan, De Winter, Tomori, Pavlovic, Bartesaghi, Rabiot, Modric, Loftus-Cheek, Saelemaekers, Pulisic, Nkunku
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Napoli have failed to win 3 of their last 4 matches.
- 5 of Napoli’s last 6 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Milan have won or drawn 15 of their last 17 matches.
- Milan have conceded first in 3 of their last 4 matches.
Napoli — Milan Prediction
We are in for a very intriguing and intense clash between two teams performing well this season. Napoli come into the match after two consecutive defeats, currently sitting third in Serie A and still fighting for a place in the Champions League playoffs. Their recent performances have been somewhat unconvincing, but the team will be motivated to break their long wait for the Super Cup, which they haven’t won in over a decade. Milan, on the other hand, are not involved in European competitions this season and have been solid in Serie A, suffering only two losses so far. As the defending Italian Super Cup champions, they aim to retain their title. Historically, encounters between these teams have always been exciting, competitive, and high-scoring. Considering Napoli’s desire to end their trophy drought and Milan’s determination to defend their title, we can expect an open and attacking game with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities from both sides. My bet for this match: Both Teams to Score — Yes at odds of 1.89.
