Nacional vs Atlético Nacional prediction, H2H and probable lineups - May 29, 2025
One of the sixth-round clashes in the Copa Libertadores group stage takes place this Thursday at the Gran Parque stadium in Montevideo, where local side Nacional will host Colombia's Atlético Nacional. I'm backing a goals bet in this encounter with a solid odds value.
Match preview
The Uruguayan giants enter the final round of the Copa Libertadores group stage with a single goal: to avoid ending their continental campaign in May. To make that happen, Bolso not only need a win, but they must do it by at least two goals and hope Bahia slip up in the parallel fixture.
However, Ricardo Zielinski's men have lost both of their home games in the group — against Inter (0-2) and Bahia (0-1) — highlighting their inconsistency in front of their own fans. Still, Nacional have picked up five wins and just one defeat across their last six games in all competitions, showing they're a side willing to take risks, sometimes to their own detriment. With the pressure and motivation high, the Tricolores are sure to go on the attack from the first minute, leaving space for counterattacks.
The Colombians have already secured a playoff spot, but their minimum objective for the group finale is to stay top and secure home advantage in the round of 16. Unlike their domestic league, where the Verdiblancos have lost their last two matches, they look much more confident in the Libertadores — back-to-back wins prove it.
Notably, none of Atlético Nacional's five group games have ended in a draw (three wins and two losses), and both teams have scored in their last two away matches. It's also worth pointing out that away games haven't been going well for Nacional lately, with only one win in their last ten matches in all competitions, alongside three draws and six defeats.
Probable lineups
- Nacional: Luis Mejía, Leonardo Morales, Pedro Calione, Sebastián Coates, Joaquín Millán, Gabriel Báez, Luis Bodjo, Cristian Oliva, Juan Recoba, Lautaro Villalba Jaume, Nicolás López
- Atlético Nacional: Ospina – Román, Tabares, Tesillo, Cándido – Campuzano, Zapata, Inestrosa, Cardona, Viveros – Morelos
Match facts and head-to-head
- The head-to-head history suggests both teams can find the net—this has happened in four of the last seven meetings between these sides
- Atlético Nacional won the first match with a convincing 3-0 scoreline
- The over 2.5 goals bet has landed in three out of five matches
Prediction
Bookmakers rate both teams' chances as roughly even for this match. We expect an open game with goals, and recommend taking 'Total over 2.0' at odds of 1.65.
