Moldova vs Italy: Prediction, H2H and probable lineups — November 13, 2025
On Thursday, November 13, as part of the eighth matchday in Group I, Moldova will host Italy on home soil. Read on for a detailed look at both teams and a prediction for this fixture.
See also: Azerbaijan vs Iceland prediction and betting tips 13 November 2025
Match preview
Moldova enters this match as clear underdogs: the team has suffered several heavy defeats this year, including a crushing 11-1 loss to Norway. In six matches played, Moldova has managed to earn just one point, drawing away against Estonia. At the same time, Moldova has scored only four goals while conceding 26.
Playing at home, Moldova will most likely focus on defense: the team will try to limit the opponent's chances, maintain a compact defensive line, and rely on counterattacks or set pieces as their main opportunities.
Italy has already secured a playoff spot for the World Cup and is unlikely to overtake Norway in the group—barring a miracle. Gattuso's squad has picked up 15 points in six games, with their only loss coming against Norway (0-3). In the first qualifier meeting, Italy comfortably defeated Moldova 2-0.
Italy will approach the match looking to control proceedings: expect high possession, aggressive use of the flanks, sharp attacking play, and a desire to break the deadlock as early as possible. Their defense, while not flawless, is clearly a level above their opponents.
Probable lineups
Moldova: Avram, Reabciuk, Dumbravanu, Mudrac, Baboglo, Ionita, Caimacov, Bodisteanu, Postolachi, Plătică, Nicolaescu
Italy: Donnarumma, Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Ranieri, Dimarco, Ricci, Tonali, Frattesi, Cambiaso, Raspadori, Retegui
Match facts and H2H
- Italy has won every match against Moldova
- Italy is on a five-match winning streak
- Moldova has gone nine matches without a win
Prediction
Despite the difference in status, I believe Italy will play a composed game and secure a modest victory. My prediction: total under 4 goals at 1.55
