Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro: can Galo end their run of poor results?

Mirassol vs Atletico MG prediction Photo by Pedro Vilela/Getty Images
Mirassol Mirassol
Serie A Brazil (Round 35) 14 nov 2026, 16:30
- : -
Brazil,

On November 14, 2026, Mirassol will host Atlético Mineiro at José Maria de Campos Maia Stadium in the 35th round of the Brazilian Championship. The hosts have a chance to strengthen their position in the bottom half of the table, while the visitors are still battling for a place in the Copa Libertadores spots. Eduardo Domínguez’s side also have another concern: the Copa Sudamericana final is coming up. That makes this matchup intriguing not only in terms of the league table, but also because of how each team manages its resources.
Kick-off is at 18:30 Brazilian time

Mirassol: home advantage could make the difference

Mirassol are having a difficult season, with promising runs regularly followed by dropped points. After 34 rounds, the team sits 14th with 40 points. The record is far from impressive: 10 wins, 10 draws and 14 defeats, with a goal difference of 39:48.

Still, the hosts should not be written off. Mirassol can trouble even higher-profile opponents on home soil. The team looks to stay well organized, use the flanks and transition quickly from defense to attack. Above all, they will need to avoid letting their opponents dictate the game for the full 90 minutes.

Mirassol head into this match on the back of a 2-1 win over Chapecoense. Before that, they lost to Corinthians (0-2), drew with São Paulo (1-1) and beat Internacional (2-0). So, consistency has been elusive, but their positive home results give them reason to believe they can put up a fight against Atlético.

André Luís is one player to watch. The forward remains an important attacking option and can exploit the space behind the defense. Much will also depend on Shaylon, who will be tasked with linking the midfield and attack.

Atlético Mineiro: are their thoughts already on the continental final?

Atlético Mineiro have very different objectives. The team is seventh on 50 points and remains in contention for a place in the top six, which would secure a route into the Copa Libertadores. They are three points behind sixth-placed Bahia, so dropping points now would be far from ideal.

However, Galo’s recent results raise questions. In their last five league matches, they have won twice and lost three times. The two most recent defeats were particularly frustrating: Atlético first lost 1-0 to Cruzeiro, then suffered another 1-0 defeat, this time to Botafogo.
The main problem is that the team’s attacking potential does not always translate into clear-cut chances. Their defense is not impenetrable either, especially when opponents make good use of the space available.

There is another important factor. On November 21, Atlético Mineiro will face Argentina’s Boca Juniors in the Copa Sudamericana final. The match against Mirassol will be their last test before that decisive continental showdown. Eduardo Domínguez will surely take this into account when picking his lineup and managing playing time.
The squad situation also bears watching. Thiago Borbas, Maycon and Ruan Tressoldi are gradually working their way back and could return to the coach’s squad. Fred has yet to regain his best form after a muscle injury, while Reinier and Victor Hugo remain in treatment. As a result, the visitors’ final lineup will depend on the players’ condition shortly before kick-off.

Much will depend on Mateo Cassierra up front; he can pose a threat even when chances are limited. Gustavo Scarpa is another player to watch: his technique and ability to deliver from set pieces could prove a major weapon against the hosts’ defense.

Head-to-head record

Looking at previous meetings, Atlético Mineiro have had the upper hand. The teams have met three times, and Mirassol have yet to beat this opponent.

• 16.05.2026 — Atlético Mineiro – Mirassol 3:1.
• 28.09.2025 — Atlético Mineiro – Mirassol 1:0.
• 26.04.2025 — Mirassol – Atlético Mineiro 2:2.

So, Galo have two wins and one draw. Their most recent meeting in May ended in a fairly convincing victory for the Belo Horizonte side. However, past results should not be taken as a guide to the upcoming match: the teams are now dealing with very different circumstances in the table.

What can we expect from the match?

On paper, Atlético Mineiro are the more established and experienced side, but I would not rush to call them clear favorites. Mirassol have home advantage, are in a somewhat calmer position in terms of squad availability, and have already shown they can take points off strong opponents.

I expect the hosts to make the most of playing at home and avoid surrendering the initiative for long spells. The visitors will likely have more possession, look for openings down the flanks and bring Gustavo Scarpa into the attack. At the same time, the upcoming final could lead Domínguez to take a more cautious approach.

Goals are also worth considering. Mirassol have not been involved in many high-scoring shootouts lately. Atlético have had their own problems in front of goal, and the two teams’ recent records give further reason to expect a relatively low-scoring game.

The hosts have a good chance to take advantage of the visitors’ inconsistency, as Atlético will surely be reluctant to risk key players’ fitness ahead of the Copa Sudamericana final.

My prediction: both teams to score — yes.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
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