Milan vs Verona prediction, H2H and probable lineups — December 28, 2025

AC Milan vs Verona prediction Photo: x.com/acmilan/ Author unknownn
Serie A Italy (Round 17) 28 dec 2025, 06:30
Finished
3 : 0
Italy, Milano, San Siro
Christian Pulisic
45' + 1
Christopher Nkunku
48' (P) 53'

As part of the 17th round of the Italian Serie A, Milan will face off against Verona. The match will take place at San Siro on Sunday, December 28. Kick-off is scheduled for 12:30 Central European Time. I’m offering a bet on the winner of this game.

Match preview

Milan are firmly holding their spot among Serie A’s leading pack and remain in the hunt for the highest honors. The team consistently picks up points, especially against opponents from the lower half of the table, where the Rossoneri rarely slip up.

The season has been smooth for Milan, without major downturns, reflecting a well-balanced squad. Allegri’s return has steered the club back on track, with Milan immediately emerging as a Scudetto contender and currently trailing Inter by just one point.

At San Siro, Milan traditionally assert their dominance. The team controls possession, actively exploits the flanks, and looks to pile on the pressure right from the first half. Home games are often played entirely on their terms, with a high tempo and relentless attacking movement creating a wealth of chances in front of goal.

Last week, Milan had a disappointing trip to Saudi Arabia, where they were beaten by Napoli in the Italian Super Cup semifinal. Now, they need to get back to winning ways against one of the league’s strugglers.

Verona’s objectives for the 2025/26 season are far more pragmatic, as they battle to retain their Serie A status. The team alternates between poor and disappointing performances, which has kept them stuck in the relegation zone.

Nevertheless, Verona have managed to snatch points from more illustrious rivals several times this season. Their draw with Juventus was a while ago, but in recent games the Mastiffs have claimed wins over Atalanta and Fiorentina—remarkably, their first victories of the current campaign.

On the road, Verona play with more caution, focusing on defensive solidity and sitting deep. They do their best to close down space and slow the game, but under sustained pressure are often forced to retreat dangerously close to their own goal.

Verona’s main issue remains their defense. Against strong attacking teams, they regularly concede a high number of shots and lose concentration at crucial moments. This is reflected in their goals-against stats and makes it tough to pick up points away from home.

Match facts

  • Milan are unbeaten at home in eight consecutive matches.
  • Milan have won just one of their last four games.
  • Verona have celebrated victory in their last two matches.
  • Milan average 1.5 goals per home game, while Verona average 0.65 goals per away game.

Probable lineups

  • Milan: Maignan, Tomori, De Winter, Pavlovic, Bartesaghi, Saelemaekers, Rabiot, Modric, Fofana, Pulisic, Leão.
  • Verona: Montipò, Nunez, Nelsson, Bella-Kotchap, Cham, Valentini, Bernabé, Gagliardini, Al-Musrati, Orban, Giovane.

H2H

  • The last nine head-to-head meetings between these teams have all ended in Milan victories.
  • Verona have not beaten Milan at San Siro in over 100 years, with their last away win dating back to 1922.

Prediction

Given Milan’s attacking prowess, Verona’s defensive struggles, and the tempo the hosts set at home, there’s little doubt about the likely winner here. I expect the Rossoneri to get the job done and take all three points, so my bet is on a Milan win with a -1 goal handicap.

Prediction on game W1(-1)
Odds: 1.6
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