Milan vs Sassuolo prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 14, 2025
One of the matches of Serie A’s 16th round will be played on Sunday at the iconic San Siro in Milan, where the local side, Milan, will host Sassuolo. Here’s a bet on goalscoring with solid chances of success.
Match preview
The Rossoneri made a powerful start to the season and remain unbeaten in Serie A since August, firmly staying in the title race. The derby win over Torino, achieved after coming back from 0-2 down, only highlighted the team’s mental resilience, while the fit-again Pulisic reminded everyone of his worth by coming off the bench to score a brace. Allegri’s side is thriving during this European-free stretch, focusing on the league and showing remarkable consistency.
Despite their impressive form, Milan has struggled against Sassuolo in recent years. The Neroverdi are one of the few teams to consistently pick up points at San Siro. Still, Milan’s squad depth and their ongoing unbeaten run in Serie A make them clear favorites, especially considering the visitors are missing several key players.
Fabio Grosso’s team has confidently re-established itself in the top flight, playing with maturity regardless of the opponent’s status. Their victory over Fiorentina last round helped them solidify a spot in the upper half of the table, and now the Neroverdi are much closer to a European spot than the relegation zone. Notably, they have lost just one of their last five away games, underlining their solid away form.
Even with Bernardeschi and several others sidelined, Sassuolo’s attacking trio remains dangerous. Laurienté, Pinamonti, and Volpato create plenty of chances, with the latter directly involved in four goals over the last four matches. Historically, Sassuolo knows how to play against Milan and could well cause problems for the hosts, even with a depleted squad.
Probable lineups
- Milan: Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Saelemaekers, Loftus-Cheek, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi; Pulisic, Nkunku
- Sassuolo: Muric; Walukiewicz, Izdes, Muharemovic, Doig; Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone; Volpato, Pinamonti, Laurienté
Match facts and head-to-head
- Milan are unbeaten in Serie A since August and have collected over 30 points from 14 rounds.
- Sassuolo have won 3 of their last 5 matches at San Siro against Milan.
- The last Serie A head-to-head between these teams ended in a 3-3 draw.
Prediction
Given Milan’s current form and Sassuolo’s squad issues, the hosts should claim all three points. However, Sassuolo usually makes life difficult at San Siro, and even if Milan scores, it’s unlikely to be more than twice. Our pick: "Milan total under 2.0" at odds of 1.75.
