Milan vs Como: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 18 February 2026

AC Milan vs Como prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 24) 18 feb 2026, 14:45
Finished
1 : 1
Italy, Milano, Giuseppe Meazza
Rafael Leao
64'
32'
Nico Paz

One of the marquee fixtures of Serie A's 24th round will take place on Wednesday, February 18, at the iconic San Siro stadium in Milan, where the home side AC Milan will host the ambitious Como. The hosts are relentlessly chasing Inter at the top, while the visitors aim to secure their place in the European slots – setting the stage for a clash loaded with intrigue. I’m backing a total goals bet in this encounter with a promising odds line.

Match preview

Milan come into this match in stellar form: four wins in their last five league outings, with their only slip-up being a 1-1 away draw against Roma. Massimiliano Allegri’s squad has suffered just a single defeat in the league – on opening day – and have since embarked on an unbeaten run. However, with an eight-point gap behind Inter, there’s no room for error; dropping any points could prove costly.

It’s also worth highlighting Milan’s record against top-table sides: the Rossoneri haven’t lost to any of the current top eight, often coming away with all three points. Still, they’ll have to cope without the suspended Rabiot, one of their leading assist providers, which means a midfield reshuffle is on the cards – likely giving Loftus-Cheek a deeper role.

Como, under Cesc Fàbregas, were recently enjoying an impressive unbeaten streak, including emphatic wins over Lazio and Torino by a combined score of 9-0. They also stunned Napoli to reach the Coppa Italia semi-finals for the first time in 40 years. However, in their last outing, they unexpectedly lost to relegation-threatened Fiorentina, slipping down the table.

Como will be without Álvaro Morata for the trip to Milan – the Spaniard is suspended after a recent red card. Historically, Como have found it extremely tough against Milan: three defeats in three meetings since returning to Serie A, with Fàbregas’ men opening the scoring each time but failing to even hold on for a draw.

Probable line-ups

  • Milan: Maignan, Pavlovic, Gabbia, Tomori, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek, Modric, Fofana, Atekhame, Leão, Nkunku
  • Como: Butez, Vojvoda, Ramon, Kempf, Valle, Caqueret, Da Cunha, Rodriguez, Paz, Baturina, Douvikas

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Milan are unbeaten in Serie A since the opening round and are on a 23-match unbeaten run.
  • Como have lost all three meetings with Milan since returning to the top flight.
  • In the January head-to-head, the Rossoneri came from behind to win 3-1.

Prediction

Milan are currently more stable and disciplined, especially in matches against direct rivals and solid mid-table sides. Como are dangerous in attack and could well strike first again, but Morata’s absence and their poor historical record against the Rossoneri diminish their prospects. Expect a tough but controlled match for the hosts.

Prediction on game AC Milan Win or Draw & Total over 1.5
Odds: 1.83
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