Milan derby: who will come out on top? Prediction for the Milan vs Inter clash on August 5

AC Milan vs Inter prediction Marco Luzzani/Getty Images
Club Friendlies (Round 1) 05 aug 2026, 07:00
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International,

On Wednesday, August 5, the Optus Stadium in Australia will host one of the most intriguing friendlies of the current pre-season—an unofficial Derby della Madonnina between AC Milan and Inter. Despite its friendly status, a showdown between the two Milan giants is never truly “friendly.” With just two weeks to go before the official start of Serie A, both coaching staffs are entering the final stretch of preparations, making this head-to-head a true dress rehearsal for their strongest lineups ahead of the opening rounds of the Italian championship.

Nominal hosts Milan take to the pitch aiming to showcase their progress in building a more combinational, high-intensity style of play. In recent friendlies, the Rossoneri have focused on developing rapid flank attacks and dominating the central areas. The support of the San Siro stands and the high-profile opponent will push Milan’s coaching staff to field their top players from the opening whistle. Their main objective: to test the reliability of their revamped defensive line against Inter’s powerful and well-drilled attacking game.

Inter arrive for this friendly after a series of tough international pre-season tests, including an away match against Manchester City. The Nerazzurri, as usual, build their game around impeccable tactical discipline, a compact midfield block, and precise transitions from defense to attack using their wing-backs. Inter’s head coach will undoubtedly seize the chance to test tactical flexibility, rotating both key starters and quality substitutes. Inter’s ability to impose a fierce physical battle in midfield will pose a real challenge for Milan’s engine room.

The fierce nature of the Milan derby guarantees maximum commitment from the players, even in a pre-season context. The first half promises a tight tactical contest with an emphasis on discipline—Milan will try to keep the ball and dictate play, while Inter will look to exploit any gaps left open. In the second half, inevitable substitutions will disrupt the rhythm and make for a more open game.

Prediction

I believe both sides will deliver an entertaining, high-scoring affair: expect an open and spectacular match. My prediction: both teams to score – YES at 1.5

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.5
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