Mexico vs Ecuador prediction and betting tips - July 1, 2024
In the early hours of Monday, July 1st, Mexico will face Ecuador in the third-round group stage match of the Copa America. The match will commence at 2:00 AM Central European Time, and Dailysports experts have prepared a forecast for this encounter.
Mexico
The Mexican national team is participating in the Copa America for the first time in three tournaments. They did not play in the 2019 and 2021 editions, although they had been regular participants since 1993. During this period, Mexico reached the semifinals three times and the finals twice, though they have never won the tournament. In 1993, they lost the final to Argentina 1-2, and in 2001, they were defeated by Colombia 0-1. Since 2007, their highest achievement has been advancing from the group stage to the quarterfinals.
In this Copa America, Mexico began with a narrow 1-0 victory over Jamaica but then lost 0-1 to Venezuela in the next match, leaving them with three points after two games. Mexico still has a chance to advance to the playoffs, needing a victory in the final group stage match. Prior to the tournament, Mexico played three friendly matches, winning one (beating Bolivia 1-0) and losing two: to Uruguay (0-4) and Brazil (2-3).
Ecuador
Ecuador began this Copa America with a contrasting start. In their first match, they faced Venezuela. Unfortunately for Ecuador, they were reduced to ten men in the 22nd minute. Despite this, they opened the scoring but couldn't hold on for even a draw, losing 1-2 in the second half. In the second round, Ecuador played against group underdogs Jamaica and secured a 3-1 victory. Currently, Ecuador is in second place in the group, ahead of Mexico due to a better goal difference. A draw in this game would be sufficient for Ecuador to advance.
A positive result would mean Ecuador's second consecutive playoff appearance. Previously, they have advanced to the quarterfinals 12 times out of 28 tournaments, with their highest achievement being fourth place in 1993 and 1959. Ecuador also had a solid preparation for the Copa America, winning two out of three friendly matches (defeating Honduras 2-1 and Bolivia 3-1, but losing to Argentina 0-1).
Interesting Facts and Head-to-Head
- The last head-to-head match between Ecuador and Mexico took place in 2022 and ended in a 0-0 draw.
- None of Mexico's last 10 matches have ended in a draw.
Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction
Both teams have a chance to advance to the playoffs. Ecuador has a better prospect as a draw would suffice for them. Therefore, they are likely to avoid taking significant risks and attacking excessively. As for Mexico, they haven't been scoring many goals in recent matches, with only one goal scored and one conceded in this tournament. Considering this, I believe this game will also have a low number of goals. My bet is on a total match score of under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.55.
