Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder, prediction and H2H — November 10, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies
Oklahoma City Thunder
On November 10, 2025, the NBA regular season match between Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder will take place at the FedExForum in Memphis. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Memphis Grizzlies
In their last game, Memphis Grizzlies finally returned to winning form. A 118–104 home victory over Dallas Mavericks ended their disappointing four-game losing streak. Cedric Coward and Ja Morant both scored 21 points in that matchup.
Currently, Memphis ranks 10th in the Western Conference with a 4–6 record. At home, the Grizzlies have played seven games, winning three and losing four. Offensively, they sit 21st in the league, averaging 115.1 points per game. Defensively, the team struggles, conceding 119.1 points per game — the 22nd mark in the NBA.
Ja Morant remains the team’s key figure and top scorer, averaging 20.1 points per game. He’s also the main playmaker with 7.9 assists per game. Santi Aldama leads the Grizzlies in rebounds with 6.3 per game.
Due to injuries, Memphis will again be without Brandon Clarke, Ty Jerome, and Zach Edey. Another concern for the Grizzlies is their recent home record against Oklahoma City Thunder — they have lost five straight home games to this opponent, with their last win dating back to 2022.
Oklahoma City Thunder
The reigning champions, Oklahoma City Thunder, bounced back quickly after suffering their first loss of the season. They fell to Portland Trail Blazers on the road, 119–121, but responded impressively by crushing Sacramento Kings 132–101 in their next outing. Isaiah Hartenstein was the standout performer, posting 33 points, 19 rebounds, and 3 assists. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander followed with 30 points of his own.
Oklahoma currently leads the Western Conference with a 9–1 record. Offensively, the Thunder have been one of the most efficient teams in the league, averaging 123.2 points per game — the third-best mark in the NBA. Defensively, they also rank among the top teams, allowing just 109.7 points per game, which is the second-best defensive record in the league.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains the team’s driving force, averaging 33 points and 6 assists per game. Isaiah Hartenstein continues to dominate the boards, grabbing 11.7 rebounds per game.
However, the Thunder will be without several players in this matchup, including Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Nikola Topic, and Thomas Sorber.
In head-to-head meetings, Oklahoma has completely dominated Memphis in recent years — winning 12 of their last 13 matchups, with the only loss coming during the offseason Summer League.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Memphis Grizzlies have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
- Memphis Grizzlies have lost 3 of their last 4 home games.
- 5 of the last 6 Memphis games have gone under 235.5 total points.
- Oklahoma City Thunder have won 10 of their last 11 games.
- Oklahoma City Thunder have won 6 of their last 7 road games.
- 4 of the last 5 Thunder games have gone over 235.5 total points.
- Oklahoma City Thunder have won 12 of the last 13 head-to-head meetings.
- Memphis have lost their last 5 home games against the Thunder.
- 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings have gone under 235.5 total points.
Memphis Grizzlies — Oklahoma City Thunder prediction
Both teams approach this matchup in very different form. Memphis may have picked up a win in their last game, but overall, their start to the season has been far from convincing, especially at home where consistency remains an issue. Oklahoma, on the other hand, are off to a fantastic start — dominant on both ends of the court, leading the Western Conference with just one loss so far. The Thunder have also completely controlled recent head-to-head meetings against Memphis. However, these encounters rarely turn into high-scoring affairs. Considering the current form of both teams and the recent low-scoring trend in their matchups, My bet for this match: is Under 235.5 total points at odds of 1.97.
