Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction, H2H and probable lineups – 8 November 2025

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City FC prediction Photo: bbc.com / Author unknown
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Finished
0 : 2
Australia, Melbourne, AAMI Park
2'
Max Caputo
55'
Peter Antoniou

One of the headline clashes of A-League Round 4 takes place on Saturday at Melbourne’s AAMI Park, where Melbourne Victory host arch-rivals Melbourne City. This is the first city derby of the season, and the encounter promises to be a heated affair. I suggest a bet on goals in this matchup with strong odds for success.

Match preview

Melbourne Victory have had an inconsistent start to the new season—one win, one draw, and one loss from three rounds. The side steadied things somewhat last week, defeating Perth Glory 2-0, with newcomer Keegan Jelacic scoring in back-to-back matches. However, fans still remember that Victory lost to City in the playoffs last May.

Despite a shaky start, Victory have a habit of grinding out results in derbies: from February 2024 to early 2025, they went eight matches unbeaten against City. But consistency remains an issue—just one win and only one clean sheet in their last six outings.

Melbourne City enter the season as reigning champions and have yet to lose in three rounds (one win and two draws), along with strong showings in the AFC Champions League. In midweek, City defeated Japan’s Machida Zelvia away (2-1), extending their run of matches with at least two goals scored in three of their last four games.

City are maintaining a solid balance between attack and defence: they average 1.5 goals per game while conceding less than one. Despite potential fatigue after the long trip to Japan, the defending champions look more composed and balanced at the start of this campaign.

Probable lineups

  • Melbourne Victory: Duncan, Inserra, Rawlins, Jackson, Davidson, Genreau, Valadon, Jelacic, Mata, Grimaldi, Vergos
  • Melbourne City: Beach, Shillington, Trewin, Ferreyra, Atkinson, Corcoran, Tagseth, Kuen, Kanamori, Leckie, Kutleshi

Match facts and H2H

  • Both teams have scored in five of the last six derbies.
  • Melbourne Victory have kept just one clean sheet in their last six home league matches.
  • In May 2025, Melbourne City defeated Victory 1-0 in the playoff final.

Prediction

This derby promises to be tense: Victory are fired up for revenge after their playoff defeat, while City are keen to extend their positive run. Expect open, attacking football with chances and goals at both ends.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.71
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