Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula prediction and betting tips – November 10, 2026
Marta Kostyuk
Jessica Pegula
On November 10, Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula will meet in the second round of the WTA Finals in Indian Wells. Here’s my pick for the upcoming match.
Also read: Logroñés have won their last two away games: Amorebieta vs Logroñés prediction
Marta Kostyuk
The Ukrainian battled for a long time to qualify for the WTA Finals, but arrived as an alternate. Her chance came quickly: Rybakina withdrew before the opening round, giving Kostyuk the opportunity to take on Czech player Linda Noskova.
Kostyuk looked underprepared, made unforced errors and struggled to find her rhythm, eventually losing in straight sets, 2:6, 4:6. She is ranked a career-high 10th in the world. Kostyuk had been dealing with a wrist problem, which may partly explain her sluggish start at such an important tournament—but she still has a chance to turn things around.
Jessica Pegula
In recent seasons, the American has shown everyone that she is not just a billionaire’s daughter, but also a top-level athlete. Pegula may not be the most naturally gifted player, but no one can question her work ethic. She is ranked a lofty fifth in the world, although she has yet to win a Grand Slam title.
Pegula opened the WTA Finals against fellow American Coco Gauff. It was surely an entertaining match for the fans, but Jessica lost in three sets, 4:6, 7:6, 2:6. The second set was a real roller coaster: Pegula led 5:1 in games, then found herself trailing 5:6 and saved a match point before snatching the set in a tiebreak.
Head-to-head
The American leads their head-to-head 4:3, although the players have met twice this season and Kostyuk won both matches.
Match prediction
The American is a slight favorite in this matchup, though Kostyuk is at least her equal in terms of ability. Pegula’s advantages are that the tournament is being played on home soil and that she prepared specifically for this event, while the Ukrainian did not even know whether she would be competing. I think Kostyuk is being clearly underrated ahead of this match, so I’m backing her with a +3.5-game handicap.
