Marseille — Monaco Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 14 December 2025
On December 14, 2025, in Matchday 16 of Ligue 1, Marseille will host Monaco. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Marseille
Marseille approach this match on the back of an important Champions League victory. The team, with great difficulty, managed to snatch a win in Belgium against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2, ending their short negative run of two matches without a victory. This win allowed Marseille to climb to 16th place in the group standings, and with two rounds remaining the team still keeps their chances of reaching the play-offs. Early next year, Marseille will face Club Brugge and Liverpool, which makes their task extremely challenging.
In Ligue 1, however, the team has failed to win their last two matches: first a home draw against Toulouse 2-2, followed by an away defeat to Lille 0-1. Because of these results, Marseille have slightly fallen behind the league leaders, trailing Lens by five points.
At home, Marseille look solid. In Ligue 1 they have played seven matches on their own pitch, earning 17 points and scoring 23 goals while conceding 8. Overall, their attack is the best in the league, with 35 goals scored after 15 matches. At home in the league they remain unbeaten. Across all competitions this season, Marseille have lost only once at home, in the Champions League, while drawing twice and winning seven matches.
In home fixtures against Monaco, Marseille generally perform well. In the last five meetings at the Vélodrome, they have lost only once, winning twice and drawing twice. It is also worth noting that in four of those five clashes, both teams managed to score.
Monaco
Monaco also played in the Champions League this week and earned an important narrow win over Galatasaray 1-0. This result slightly improved their poor recent form, over the last six matches, it was only their second victory, the other being a crucial win against Paris Saint-Germain. In that stretch, Monaco also suffered three defeats and recorded one draw. In the Champions League, the win over Galatasaray lifted Monaco to 19th place in the overall table with nine points, keeping their hopes of progressing alive. They will continue their campaign next year, but the upcoming fixtures against Real Madrid and Juventus will be far from easy.
In Ligue 1, Monaco face noticeable difficulties. Over their last five league matches, they have lost four times and won only once, though that victory came against PSG, finishing 1–0. Overall results still do not allow Monaco to stay within the European qualification zone. The team currently sit seventh with 23 points, trailing league leaders Lens by eleven. A striking number is their goal difference: 26 scored and 26 conceded — one of the weakest defensive records in the league at the moment.
Away from home, Monaco have not won any of their last three league games, with two defeats and one draw. Looking at recent head-to-head meetings against Marseille, the balance is complete. Over the past six encounters, each team has claimed two victories, and two matches ended in draws. Five of those six games were high-scoring, with both teams finding the net.
Probable Lineups
- Marseille: Rulli, Weah, Aguerd, Murillo, Emerson, Vermeeren, Hojbjerg, O'Riley, Greenwood, Paixao, Aubameyang
- Monaco: Hradecky, Caio, Salisu, Kehrer, Vanderson, Camara, Zakaria, Teze, Golovin, Akliouche, Balogun
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Marseille have won or drawn 5 of their last 6 matches.
- 4 of Marseille’s last 5 matches, both teams scored.
- Monaco have won or drawn 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Monaco have won 4 of last 5 head-to-head meetings.
- In 5 of last 6 head-to-head meetings, both teams scored.
Marseille — Monaco Prediction
Both teams come into this match after important Champions League victories and in good spirits. However, their recent league form has been far from ideal. Marseille have failed to win their last two Ligue 1 matches, while Monaco have suffered four defeats in their last five league games. Head-to-head meetings between these sides remain balanced, and most of their recent encounters have been entertaining and full of goals. This match is unlikely to be an exception. We expect an open game with plenty of chances, goals from both sides, and another high-scoring contest. My bet for this match: Both Teams to score — Yes at odds of 1.47.
