Marseille — Lyon Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 1 March 2026
On March 1 2026, in Matchday 24 of Ligue 1, Marseille will host Lyon. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Marseille
Olympique de Marseille are currently going through a difficult period and are in poor form. Over their last six matches in all competitions, the team have managed only one win. That victory came in the Coupe de France, where Marseille defeated Rennes to reach the quarter-finals. In the remaining fixtures, they recorded two draws and suffered three defeats.
During this run, Marseille were also eliminated from the UEFA Champions League, finishing 25th in the overall standings and failing to qualify for the knockout stage. Their situation in Ligue 1 has not been much better either. The team are currently on a four-match winless streak in the league, with two draws and two losses. In their most recent outing, Marseille suffered a 0–2 away defeat to Brest.
Despite this dip in form, Marseille remain fourth in the Ligue 1 table with 40 points, although they are already 14 points behind the leaders, Paris Saint-Germain. Their home form, however, has been a major positive this season. At the Stade Vélodrome, Marseille have recorded seven wins, three draws, and just one defeat, scoring 29 goals and conceding 13. Moreover, they are unbeaten in their last three home matches.
Looking at the head-to-head record against Lyon at home, Marseille clearly hold the advantage. They have won their last three home encounters against Lyon, scoring three goals in each of the two most recent meetings.
Lyon
Lyon are in a completely different run of form compared to their opponents. In their most recent match, the team suffered a 1–3 away defeat to Strasbourg, which brought an end to an impressive 13-match winning streak across all competitions.
Despite that setback, Lyon enjoyed a very successful spell. During this run, they reached the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France, finished first in the league phase of the UEFA Europa League, and comfortably qualified for the round of 16.
In Ligue 1, Lyon also looked convincing prior to the loss against Strasbourg. They recorded a 2–0 win over Nice, and before that by narrow 1–0 victories against Nantes and Lille. Thanks to this strong sequence, Lyon climbed to third place in the league table. They currently have 45 points and trail the leaders, Paris Saint-Germain, by nine points.
As for their away form, Lyon have also been fairly solid on the road this season, recording five wins, three draws, and four defeats. However, when it comes to head-to-head meetings with Olympique de Marseille, Marseille have held the upper hand in recent years. In the last seven encounters between the sides, Marseille have won five times, while Lyon have claimed just two victories. That said, in the reverse fixture earlier this season, Lyon managed to defeat Marseille at home by a narrow 1–0 margin.
Probable Lineups
- Marseille: Rulli, Pavard, Aguerd, Emerson, Weah, Hojbjerg, Timber, Abdelli, Greenwood, Paixao, Gouiri
- Lyon: Grief, Niakhate, Mata, Kluivert, Maitland-Niles, Tessmann, Morton, Tolisso, Abner Vinicius, Yaremchuk, Endrick
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Marseille have failed to win in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- 10 of Marseille’s last 11 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Lyon have won 13 of their last 14 matches.
- Marseille have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head home meetings.
Marseille — Lyon Prediction
The teams come into this match in very different form. Olympique de Marseille are currently going through a difficult period and have recently appointed a new head coach. Despite these issues, Marseille remain in the Ligue 1 top four and continue to perform strongly at home, where they have been consistent throughout the season. They also hold a solid historical advantage over Lyon, particularly in home fixtures. Olympique Lyonnais, meanwhile, have been in excellent form overall. The team have climbed to third place in the league table and won 13 of their last 14 matches before their recent defeat to Strasbourg. Lyon also secured a win over Marseille earlier this season, which will give them confidence heading into this clash. Taking into account Marseille’s strong home performances and motivation to end their negative run, as well as Lyon’s attacking quality and overall excellent form, this match is expected to be open and competitive. Both teams possess enough offensive strength to find the net. Recommended bet: Both Teams to Score — Yes 1.62
