Mansfield vs Arsenal: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – March 7, 2026

Mansfield vs Arsenal prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Mansfield Mansfield
FA Cup England (Round 5) 07 mar 2026, 07:15
Finished
1 : 2
England, Mansfield, One Call Stadium
Will Evans
50'
41'
Noni Madueke
66'
Eberechi Eze

One of the FA Cup fifth round clashes will unfold this Saturday at Field Mill in Mansfield, where Mansfield Town hosts London giants Arsenal. Let’s break down the likely outcome of this encounter, factoring in the gulf in class between the teams and the visitors’ trophy ambitions as they continue to chase silverware on multiple fronts.

Match preview

The hosts have already rewritten their own history in this season’s FA Cup. The League One side has reached the last 16 for the first time in half a century, and in the previous round pulled off a stunning upset, defeating Burnley 2-1 thanks to a spirited second-half comeback. However, things have been much tougher in the league, where the team is winless in nine matches.

Despite those domestic struggles, the Stags remain one of the FA Cup’s most entertaining outfits. They have scored at least twice in every one of their four matches in the competition, but defensive lapses are a recurring theme – Mansfield have yet to keep a clean sheet and are conceding nearly two goals per game on average.

Arsenal, meanwhile, arrive in excellent form and remain in the hunt on all fronts this season. The Gunners have won eight of their last ten games, and in recent Premier League rounds have dispatched Tottenham, Chelsea, and Brighton, restoring their healthy lead over Manchester City in the title race.

Still, Mikel Arteta is almost certain to rotate his squad heavily for this fixture. With a congested schedule and a Champions League tie against Bayer Leverkusen looming, fringe players are expected to get their opportunity – Kepa Arrizabalaga is tipped to start in goal, with Noni Madueke and Gabriel Jesus likely leading the line up front.

Probable lineups

  • Mansfield: Roberts, Blake-Tracy, Oshilaja, Hewitt, Akins, Reed, Arrow, Russell, Abbott, Evans, Oates.
  • Arsenal: Arrizabalaga, White, Mosquera, Calafiori, Lewis-Skelly, Nørgaard, Zubimendi, Trossard, Havertz, Madueke, Jesus.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Mansfield are in the FA Cup last 16 for the first time since the 1974/75 season.
  • Mansfield have netted 11 goals across their four FA Cup matches this campaign.
  • Arsenal haven’t lost to a non-Premier League English side in the FA Cup since 2018.

Prediction

The gulf in quality is just too big, even with Arsenal likely to rotate. Mansfield have been bold and prolific in the cup, but their defensive frailties are exactly the sort of weakness a team like Arsenal will ruthlessly exploit. The Gunners have already thrashed Wigan and Portsmouth by a combined score of 8-1 in this tournament, so another convincing victory for the favorites is the logical expectation here.

Prediction on game Total over 3.5
Odds: 1.79
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