Mallorca vs Villarreal: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 10.05.2026
One of the matches of the 35th round of the Spanish championship will take place on Sunday in Palma, where local side Mallorca hosts Villarreal at the Son Moix stadium. The hosts are still fighting for survival and sit just two points above the relegation zone, while the 'Yellow Submarine' have all but secured their Champions League spot. That’s why I’m offering a prediction for this showdown, with strong chances for success.
Match preview
Mallorca has come to life under Martín Demichelis: under the Argentine coach, the team has won four matches and lost two in eight fixtures, climbing out of the immediate danger zone. In the previous round, the Islanders claimed a crucial away victory over Girona — 1:0, and before that, they had beaten Rayo Vallecano 3:0 at home and even Real Madrid 2:1, showcasing their current home strength.
The main asset for Mallorca is, without a doubt, the Son Moix factor: eight of their ten wins this season have come at home, and they’ve gone unbeaten in their last four home games, winning three of them. With just two points separating them from the relegation zone, the hosts can’t afford to play cautiously — pragmatism and a cold-blooded victory are needed here, not pretty football.
Villarreal are having a strong season and, after a string of positive results, have cemented their spot in the top three, virtually guaranteeing Champions League football. They are unbeaten in their last four games, and two recent home wins — 5:1 over Levante and 2:1 over Celta Vigo — confirmed that the visitors’ attacking prowess remains formidable.
However, Villarreal’s away record is less convincing: in their last ten away fixtures, they’ve suffered five defeats and only managed two wins. With their main objective already achieved, Villarreal might lack the same edge in motivation as Mallorca — and in this kind of high-stakes context, that can often be the decisive factor. It’s worth noting that the Yellow Submarine have conceded no more than one goal in each of their last eight games. They’ve also won the first half in four consecutive rounds.
Probable lineups
- Mallorca: Roman, Maffeo, Mascarell, Valjent, Mojica, Darder, Morlanes, Kalumba, Torre, Samu Costa, Muriqi.
- Villarreal: Tenas, Freeman, Navarro, Veiga, Pedraza, Pepe, Comesaña, Parejo, Moleiro, Moreno, Mikautadze.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Mallorca have won four of their last seven matches in all competitions.
- Mallorca are unbeaten in their last four home games, winning three.
- Villarreal have not lost to Mallorca in their last five head-to-head encounters, including a 2:1 win in the first round of this season.
Mallorca have led at halftime in four of their last five matches.
Demichelis' side has scored in the second half in six of their last eight games.
- Villarreal have not taken more than 4 corners in any of their last 12 La Liga away matches.
Prediction
Mallorca currently looks like a team that understands the value of every single point. Demichelis has brought structure and confidence to the side, and their home streak shows that at Son Moix, the Islanders can impose an uncomfortable, gritty game with sharp attacks through Muriqi and rapid wing play. Villarreal are stronger on paper and have had a better season overall, but the motivational edge here is clearly with the hosts. The visitors already have one eye on the Champions League, while Mallorca are still fighting for their lives. In this scenario, we should expect a tight contest where character and home energy could outweigh pure class.
