Lyon vs Nice: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 15 February 2026

Lyon vs Nice prediction Photo: ligue1.fr / Author unknown
Ligue 1 France (Round 22) 15 feb 2026, 14:45
Finished
2 : 0
France, Lyon, Groupama Stadium
Corentin Tolisso
45' + 1
Noah Nartey
64'

One of the marquee fixtures of the Ligue 1 round will take place on Sunday at the Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu, where Lyon will host Nice. Let’s break down the key betting angle, factoring in the home side’s phenomenal run and the visitors’ defensive instability.

Match preview

Lyon are enjoying arguably their best spell in years. Paulo Fonseca’s side has racked up 12 consecutive wins in all competitions, including a six-match winning streak in the league. Their latest Ligue 1 victory was a narrow 1-0 over Nantes, with Pavel Schulz netting the decisive strike – his tenth league goal of the season.

Since the start of 2026, Les Gones haven’t dropped a single point in Ligue 1 and are firmly settled in third place, nine points adrift of PSG. Lyon haven’t lost at Groupama Stadium since early November, stringing together eight straight home wins across all competitions – this is more than just a hot streak; it’s a real system.

Nice are slowly emerging from their crisis, but consistency remains elusive. After a heavy 1-5 defeat to Toulouse, Claude Puel’s men have put together a three-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1, including a goalless draw with Monaco in the last round – their first clean sheet since October.

Nevertheless, the Eagles’ defense remains vulnerable: 38 goals conceded in 21 rounds – one of the worst records in the league. With key absences, including Boudaoui and the likely unavailability of Sanson, Nice could struggle to keep up with a Lyon side brimming with confidence.

Probable lineups

  • Lyon: Grif, Maitland-Niles, Mata, Niakate, Abner, Tessmann, Morton, Nartey, Moreira, Karabec, Schulz.
  • Nice: Kon, Theate, Zakaria, Kehrer, Diatta, Kamara, Bamba, Adingra, Akliouche, Golovin, Balogun.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Lyon have won eight straight home matches in all competitions.
  • Nice have conceded 38 goals in 21 Ligue 1 rounds – only relegation candidates have let in more.
  • In October, Nice defeated Lyon thanks to goals from Bard, Diop, and Boudaoui.

Prediction

Lyon are playing with the confidence of a side that knows how to get results in any scenario. Nice have improved their organization, but defensive issues and squad absences could prove critical against a red-hot home team. I expect Lyon’s winning streak to continue.

Prediction on game Win Lyon
Odds: 1.65
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