Lyon vs Lens: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 05.03.2026

Lyon vs Lens prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Finished
2 : 2
Penalty
4 : 5
France, Lyon, Groupama Stadium
Roman Yaremchuk
67'
Remi Himbert
90' + 4
23'
Florian Thauvin
45' + 1
Abdallah Sima

One of the most anticipated French Cup quarter-finals is set for Thursday at the Groupama Stadium in Lyon, where the local side faces off against Lens. This encounter looks as balanced as they come, and given the nature of cup ties, a cautious scenario with few goals is entirely plausible.

Match preview

Lyon traditionally performs strongly in the French Cup and has once again reached the business end of the competition. In the round of 16, Paulo Fonseca's team comfortably dispatched Laval (2-0), conceding just one goal across their three cup matches this season. Overall, the "Weavers" consistently make it this far – this is their seventh quarter-final in the last eight editions of the tournament.

Especially impressive is Lyon's home streak. The team has won nine consecutive matches on their own turf across all competitions and has kept three straight clean sheets. Moreover, in the French Cup, they've claimed eight consecutive home victories, with their last defeat at Groupama Stadium in this tournament dating back to 2021, when Monaco emerged victorious.

Lens also come into this clash in fine form and remain one of the prime contenders for the trophy. In the previous round, they convincingly beat Troyes (4-2), and across three French Cup fixtures this season, have netted ten goals. Under Pierre Sage, the "Blood and Gold" have looked organized and highly disciplined.

Lens have also been excellent on the road. In their last nine away games in all competitions, they've suffered just one defeat – against Marseille (1-3). Notably, Lens have won their last two matches at Groupama Stadium, and also knocked out Lyon in the cup back in 2014.

Probable lineups

  • Lyon: Deschamps; Abner, Mata, Niakate, Hateboer; Nartey, Morton, Tessmann; Endrick, Yaremchuk, Karabakh.
  • Lens: Risser; Ganiu, Celik, Udol; Abdulhamid, Bulatovic, Sangare, Sarr; Sotoca, Said; Edouard.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Lyon have won their last nine home games in all competitions.
  • Lyon have claimed eight straight French Cup wins at home.
  • Lens have won their last two away matches at Groupama Stadium in various competitions.

Prediction

Second and third place teams in this season's Ligue 1 will face off on the pitch, promising a tense, tactically rich encounter. Both sides are known for their disciplined defending and patience in waiting for their moment. Most likely, this will be a tight contest that could well go to extra time.

Prediction on game Total under 3.0
Odds: 1.56
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